NZ - New Plymouth - Race 5

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

29.2K

VIEW

Verdict

INDIAN GOLD (4) has been below his best in two runs back from a spell but is capable of much better than his recent form suggests. He should be nearing peak fitness now and, with a drop back to BM65 level, he is the one to beat. DUBAI'S POTIKI (1) continues to race consistently and went close again when a determined second over 1 m at Waverley 2 weeks ago. He is drawn to settle prominently from the outset, and he is a genuine winning chance. BELLEZOR (12) produced a much-improved effort when narrowly beaten at Arawa Park last start, finishing strongly to just miss the prize by a head. There is more depth to this field, and she has the ability to be competitive again. MARRIAGE VOWS (13) has been thereabouts without breaking through and she has not had all luck. She has never missed a cheque in 2 starts here and despite a wide gate, she is still worth including in all top 4 combos. DON'S LEGACY (5) has raced his way into form, and as long as the track is heavy, he won't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 9th of 14 at Woodville on June 19 over 7f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Diomedes with 120lbs at $21.40. Last start ran second last in a small field at Hawera on July 11 over 7f, on heavy track, 10 len behind He's Lucid carrying 115lbs at $5.20. Is ready to win again. 1st Pick 4 Indian Gold Jockey: Ashlee Strawbridge Trainer: Allan Sharrock J: Ashlee Strawbridge T: Allan Sharrock	112	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 9th of 14 at Woodville on June 19 over 7f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Diomedes with 120lbs at $21.40. Last start ran second last in a small field at Hawera on July 11 over 7f, on heavy track, 10 len behind He's Lucid carrying 115lbs at $5.20. Is ready to win again.
1	Recent form sound. Most recently ran on from midfield, 2nd of 14 at Waverley on July 4 over 1 m, slow going 1.2 len behind Horonuku with 128lbs at $7. The start before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 at Trentham on June 10 over 7 ½f, on a wet track, 0.9 len behind Possess carrying 127lbs at $2.80. Capable enough on his day and is expected to run well. 2nd Pick 1 Dubai's Potiki Jockey: Liam Kauri Trainer: Chrissy Bambry J: Liam Kauri T: Chrissy Bambry	132	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently ran on from midfield, 2nd of 14 at Waverley on July 4 over 1 m, slow going 1.2 len behind Horonuku with 128lbs at $7. The start before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 at Trentham on June 10 over 7 ½f, on a wet track, 0.9 len behind Possess carrying 127lbs at $2.80. Capable enough on his day and is expected to run well.
12	Last start ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7 ¾f, in the wet, neck behind Vadanova carrying 123lbs at $5. The run before that 11th of 14 at Te Rapa on June 13 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Arwen with 125lbs at $30.90. Can go on with the job now. 3rd Pick 12 Bellezor Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Paul Richards J: Amber Riddell T: Paul Richards	121	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Last start ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7 ¾f, in the wet, neck behind Vadanova carrying 123lbs at $5. The run before that 11th of 14 at Te Rapa on June 13 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Arwen with 125lbs at $30.90. Can go on with the job now.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.