NZ - New Plymouth - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

10.5K

VIEW

Verdict

THE MAILMAN (4) did nothing on debut as a juvenile, but that was on a heavy track. He has looked smart and forward in condition at a couple of tune-up trials. A wide gate is a query, but he is a lot stronger now, and should be among the hardest to beat fresh up in this. ERBYS DARCI (1) was not bad here over 7f last time out, when finishing third behind a fairly handy type. He is bred to keep on improving with time, and his first win should not be too far away. BANQUELLA (8) won the latest of her 2 trials this season, and she will be ready to rumble on debut. LE SMOKE (11) makes his debut from the in-form Sam Mynott stable, and she was runner-up in a recent Avondale trial a week ago. She is sure to have plenty of market support. BRUTAL REALITY (9) needed the experience when making her debut, and she can improve sharply here. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when raced on the pace before fading second last of 13 at Matamata 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 17 over 6f, on heavy track, 14 len behind Varjak carrying 127lbs at $18.40. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Looks all set for a bright return. 1st Pick 4 The Mailman Jockey: Sam Weatherley Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Sam Weatherley T: Stephen Marsh	52	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when raced on the pace before fading second last of 13 at Matamata 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 17 over 6f, on heavy track, 14 len behind Varjak carrying 127lbs at $18.40. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Looks all set for a bright return.
6	At debut, 3rd of 7 at Pukekohe on October 29 over 6f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Circus Trix with 122lbs at $5.10. Sure to play a major role. 2nd Pick 6 Rioja Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Simon & Katrina Alexander J: Non Runner T: Simon & Katrina Alexander	142	-	-	-	23%	Scratched
Analysis At debut, 3rd of 7 at Pukekohe on October 29 over 6f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Circus Trix with 122lbs at $5.10. Sure to play a major role.
1	Third-up today. First-up 5th of 8 at Waverley on October 19 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind Illustrious carrying 122lbs at $19.20. Second run from a spell 3rd of 7 at this track on November 5 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Sweet Talkin Gal carrying 122lbs at $25.10. Fitter now and making headway. Should come on at the third run back and is ready to play a major role. 3rd Pick 1 Erbys Darci Jockey: Toni Davies Trainer: Gavin Sharrock J: Toni Davies T: Gavin Sharrock	75	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 5th of 8 at Waverley on October 19 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind Illustrious carrying 122lbs at $19.20. Second run from a spell 3rd of 7 at this track on November 5 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Sweet Talkin Gal carrying 122lbs at $25.10. Fitter now and making headway. Should come on at the third run back and is ready to play a major role.

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Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.