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12:51 midnight

NZ - New Plymouth - Race 2

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 10
14.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BOKUSHI (1) has been knocking on the door with consecutive runner-up finishes, the latest over 7f at this track where he again showed plenty of grit after leading to be beaten only by a short-head. The drop can to 5 ½f is the key, and he looks ready to break through for a deserved maiden victory. LACEY LUCK (6) has been ultra-consistent this prep, producing back-to-back minor placings after racing on the speed. While this is a slightly stronger assignment, she has the form to measure up and should be in the finish again. CHILL FACTOR (2) resumes after a 7-month break having finished second in his only start this season in December. A recent trial win suggests he has returned in good order, and he is an each-way threat fresh. BLONDMOON (7) failed to fire at Otaki last time but had shown enough beforehand to warrant another chance. Stick with her for all top 4 combs. ROSINA VELOCE (8) has improved in each 0f her 2 starts back from a spell, and she can figure in the top 3 here.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Bokushi silk

Recent form sound. Comes off a 56 day let-up. At the latest run rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 10 at this track on May 23 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.2 len behind Prince Of Diamonds carrying 125lbs at $2.80. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Wanganui on May 10 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Skattebo with 127lbs at $4.80. Should be ridden forward again and rates a leading contender.

1st Pick
1

Bokushi

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Robbie Patterson

J: Craig Grylls

T: Robbie Patterson

111---34%2/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Comes off a 56 day let-up. At the latest run rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 10 at this track on May 23 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.2 len behind Prince Of Diamonds carrying 125lbs at $2.80. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Wanganui on May 10 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Skattebo with 127lbs at $4.80. Should be ridden forward again and rates a leading contender.

6
Lacey Luck silk

Third-up today. Resuming 3rd in a small field at Awapuni Synthetic on June 21 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Karryn carrying 122lbs at $3.20. Second-up led but faded 2nd of 9 at Waverley on July 4 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Guzzler carrying 120lbs at $20.40. Should be prominent in running again and she can go one better.

2nd Pick
6

Lacey Luck

Jockey: Floor Moerman

Trainer: Gavin Sharrock

J: Floor Moerman

T: Gavin Sharrock

77---25%3/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 3rd in a small field at Awapuni Synthetic on June 21 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Karryn carrying 122lbs at $3.20. Second-up led but faded 2nd of 9 at Waverley on July 4 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Guzzler carrying 120lbs at $20.40. Should be prominent in running again and she can go one better.

2
Chill Factor silk

Back after a long spell. Finished off last campaign 2nd of 9 at Tauherenikau on December 10 over 5f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Falcrests Belle with 129lbs at $7.40. When resuming last campaign ran last of 14 at Te Rapa on May 3 2025 over 6f, on heavy track, 21 len behind Ziggy Stardust with 129lbs at $8.60. Won trial at Foxton over 4 ¼f on June 23. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to a bright return.

3rd Pick
2

Chill Factor

Jockey: Lynsey Satherley

Trainer: Ilone Kelly

J: Lynsey Satherley

T: Ilone Kelly

52---20%4/1

Analysis

Back after a long spell. Finished off last campaign 2nd of 9 at Tauherenikau on December 10 over 5f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Falcrests Belle with 129lbs at $7.40. When resuming last campaign ran last of 14 at Te Rapa on May 3 2025 over 6f, on heavy track, 21 len behind Ziggy Stardust with 129lbs at $8.60. Won trial at Foxton over 4 ¼f on June 23. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to a bright return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race