NZ - New Plymouth - Race 1

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

23.7K

VIEW

Verdict

OH MAIMAI (5) has plenty of upside after winning a similar race by over a length at Otaki 2 weeks ago. She only has to carry an extra 2 kg, and in another small field, she is the one to beat. ERBYS DARCI (3) has been racing consistently and can make full use of the pole position. He should be ready now to try 7f again, and with fitness on his side, he should be hard to hold out. MIDNIGHT TRAIN (2) built his form nicely to record a comfortable win as an odds-on favourite at Tauherenikau nearly a month ago. He will continue to improve with further racing, and he can repeat the dose. INTENTION (1) resumes from a spell, and had her last run in the G1 2000 Guineas in the spring. She has had a trial and can't be ruled out of winning this. FAULTLESS (4) is coming off a 7-week freshen up that would have done him no harm. A wet track would help him, and he should not be underestimated.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	At the latest run won by 1.4 len at Otaki February 21 over 7f in soft going defeating Argo carrying 119lbs at $10.30. The run before that 5th of 11 at this track in the LR Oaks Prelude on January 24 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Acer with 125lbs at $5.10. Rates highly and will go well again. 1st Pick 5 Oh Maimai Jockey: Jim Chung Trainer: Robbie Patterson J: Jim Chung T: Robbie Patterson	93	-	-	-	50%
Analysis At the latest run won by 1.4 len at Otaki February 21 over 7f in soft going defeating Argo carrying 119lbs at $10.30. The run before that 5th of 11 at this track in the LR Oaks Prelude on January 24 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Acer with 125lbs at $5.10. Rates highly and will go well again.
3	Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd in a small field at Hawera on February 27 over 6f, 5 len behind Katamuku with 128lbs at $11. Before that 4th in a small field at this track on February 13 over 6f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Fancypants carrying 126lbs at $13.10. Nice effort last time. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time. 2nd Pick 3 Erbys Darci Jockey: Elen Nicholas Trainer: Gavin Sharrock J: Elen Nicholas T: Gavin Sharrock	72	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd in a small field at Hawera on February 27 over 6f, 5 len behind Katamuku with 128lbs at $11. Before that 4th in a small field at this track on February 13 over 6f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Fancypants carrying 126lbs at $13.10. Nice effort last time. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time.
2	Form hard to fault. Returns from a 29-day let-up. Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.6 len at Tauherenikau February 6 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Pistachio with 128lbs at $2. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Ruakaka on December 17 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind I Move Quickly with 127lbs at $5.90. Has upside and poses a threat. 3rd Pick 2 Midnight Train Jockey: Erin M Leighton Trainer: Ralph Manning J: Erin M Leighton T: Ralph Manning	91	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Returns from a 29-day let-up. Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.6 len at Tauherenikau February 6 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Pistachio with 128lbs at $2. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Ruakaka on December 17 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind I Move Quickly with 127lbs at $5.90. Has upside and poses a threat.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).