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12:50 midnight

NZ - New Plymouth - Race 1

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
9.9f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 10
14.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BETTY WILLDOIT (8) has found the right race after some solid efforts to start her career, and this lightly tried 7YO mare can open her winning account in this. On top for us. JUST TED (2) has only had 3 starts, and he whacked away well enough at Hawera last time out, and before that was running on late for third at Woodville. Stick with him on an each-way basis. HILL BILLY (4) will be at is peak fitness fourth up from a spell, and such is the evenness of this field, that he should be considered a top 3 chance this time. TELEOST (6) makes his debut off the back of a recent Foxton trial win, and he does not have to be a start to make a winning debut. Keep him very safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Betty Willdoit silk

Dual acceptor. Most recently 4th of 10 at Hawera on August 23 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Ballinran with 125lbs at $11.90. The start before that 5th of 12 at Woodville on August 16 over 1m, on heavy track, 12 len behind The Bossman with 147lbs at $5.20. Key runner on her best form and can feature in the finish.

1st Pick
8

Betty Willdoit

Jockey: Tom Wigram

Trainer: Joshua Lavelle & Sacha Rennie

J: Tom Wigram

T: Joshua Lavelle & Sacha Rennie

75---25%3/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Most recently 4th of 10 at Hawera on August 23 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Ballinran with 125lbs at $11.90. The start before that 5th of 12 at Woodville on August 16 over 1m, on heavy track, 12 len behind The Bossman with 147lbs at $5.20. Key runner on her best form and can feature in the finish.

2
Just Ted silk

At the latest run 7th of 10 at Hawera on August 23 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 5 len behind Ballinran with 129lbs at $16.10. The race before that 3rd of 12 at Woodville on August 16 over 1m, on heavy track, 9 len behind The Bossman with 151lbs at $8.70. Improver expected to go very well.

2nd Pick
2

Just Ted

Jockey: Leah Hemi

Trainer: Kevin Myers

J: Leah Hemi

T: Kevin Myers

85---15%6/1

Analysis

At the latest run 7th of 10 at Hawera on August 23 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 5 len behind Ballinran with 129lbs at $16.10. The race before that 3rd of 12 at Woodville on August 16 over 1m, on heavy track, 9 len behind The Bossman with 151lbs at $8.70. Improver expected to go very well.

4
Hill Billy silk

Last start 6th of 10 at Hawera on August 23 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Ballinran with 129lbs at $35.70. The start before that 4th of 12 at Woodville on August 16 over 1m, in the wet, 12 len behind The Bossman carrying 151lbs at $18.20. Has been out of the money recently but finds the right race this time and gets his chance to feature.

3rd Pick
4

Hill Billy

Jockey: Sarah Macnab

Trainer: Kayla Macnab

J: Sarah Macnab

T: Kayla Macnab

63---15%6/1

Analysis

Last start 6th of 10 at Hawera on August 23 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Ballinran with 129lbs at $35.70. The start before that 4th of 12 at Woodville on August 16 over 1m, in the wet, 12 len behind The Bossman carrying 151lbs at $18.20. Has been out of the money recently but finds the right race this time and gets his chance to feature.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.