GB - Nottingham - Race 1

Thoroughbred

5 Runners

Maiden

Turf

Good (Good to Firm in places)

15.0K

VIEW

Verdict

CAELUM shaped quite well on his Newcastle debut and might be able to improve past Lady Branksome, who sets the standard on her Ripon second but has been off since a disappointing effort at Chester in mid-June.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	105,000 gns Minzaal half-brother to very smart 6f winner Powerful Glory. Showed speed when 4 lengths second on 5f Newcastle debut 4 weeks ago. Leading claims with improvement likely. 1st Pick 1 Caelum (Ire) Jockey: Kevin Stott Trainer: Kevin Ryan J: Kevin Stott T: Kevin Ryan	92	-	-	-	84%
Analysis 105,000 gns Minzaal half-brother to very smart 6f winner Powerful Glory. Showed speed when 4 lengths second on 5f Newcastle debut 4 weeks ago. Leading claims with improvement likely.
3	Much improved from her debut when second in 6f Ripon novice (good) in May. Possibly unsuited by soft ground when well held at Chester a fortnight later. Given a break since and sure to have a big say if back to the Ripon form. 2nd Pick 3 Lady Branksome (Ire) Jockey: Callum Shepherd Trainer: Michael Bell J: Callum Shepherd T: Michael Bell	100	-	-	-	27%	Scratched
Analysis Much improved from her debut when second in 6f Ripon novice (good) in May. Possibly unsuited by soft ground when well held at Chester a fortnight later. Given a break since and sure to have a big say if back to the Ripon form.
5	Fair form, best effort when third in a 5f Lingfield nursery (all-weather) in August. Respectable fifth in maiden at Southwell since. 3rd Pick 5 Viking Barbie (Ire) Jockey: Callum Rodriguez Trainer: Ollie Sangster J: Callum Rodriguez T: Ollie Sangster	93	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Fair form, best effort when third in a 5f Lingfield nursery (all-weather) in August. Respectable fifth in maiden at Southwell since.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.