JP - Nagoya - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

7.5f

Unknown

Dirt

6.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

MEISHO YORIKIRI (7) brings the clearest recent form, having finished second at Nagoya over this trip two weeks ago when beaten three lengths by Nishiki Vivravivre after being run down late. His prior sixth was still sound enough, beaten just over five lengths by Meisho Miss Ichi, and his track-and-distance record with Junki Mochizuki keeps him the runner to beat despite the distance query. MASSANO (5) is the main danger on profile rather than last-start margin, with a fourth behind Treasure Beat two back reading better than her latest sixth, and the class drop gives her a proper chance to rebound. YUINO CHOSHINKI (4) has been around the mark with a third then fourth at Nagoya, though the maiden record remains the knock. SHIROI YATSU (9) was plain last time, but his previous fifth showed enough late response to keep him in the placing mix if he improves sharply.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Improved sharply when second to Nishiki Vivravivre at Nagoya last start, beaten three lengths after being run down late while near the top of betting. Two back he was only sixth behind Meisho Miss Ichi, but he closed off soundly from a difficult position. One win and one place from six at this track and distance, plus a strong record with Junki Mochizuki, make him the clear reference point. 1st Pick 7 Meisho Yorikiri Jockey: Junki Mochizuki Trainer: Kazuo Fujigasaki J: Junki Mochizuki T: Kazuo Fujigasaki	171	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Improved sharply when second to Nishiki Vivravivre at Nagoya last start, beaten three lengths after being run down late while near the top of betting. Two back he was only sixth behind Meisho Miss Ichi, but he closed off soundly from a difficult position. One win and one place from six at this track and distance, plus a strong record with Junki Mochizuki, make him the clear reference point.
5	Comes through a sixth to Stay Lucky at Nagoya, beaten over 10 lengths after settling rearward at big odds, so the latest result needs forgiving only in a limited sense. Her fourth to Treasure Beat two back was stronger, beaten just over five lengths after again settling back. She remains winless from 48 starts, but the class drop and recent profile give her a solid chance to improve. 2nd Pick 5 Massano Jockey: Shinichi Maruyama Trainer: Isao Nishikimi J: Shinichi Maruyama T: Isao Nishikimi	127	-	-	-	5%
Analysis Comes through a sixth to Stay Lucky at Nagoya, beaten over 10 lengths after settling rearward at big odds, so the latest result needs forgiving only in a limited sense. Her fourth to Treasure Beat two back was stronger, beaten just over five lengths after again settling back. She remains winless from 48 starts, but the class drop and recent profile give her a solid chance to improve.
4	Held his ground for fourth behind Stranger at Nagoya last start, beaten over 12 lengths but not shirking the task after being near the top of an open market. That followed a third to Stay Lucky, where he had plenty to do and still came home strongly into the money. The 21-start maiden record is the obvious concern, yet his recent consistency makes him a genuine winning chance in this field. 3rd Pick 4 Yuino Choshinki Jockey: Masaaki Ohata Trainer: Isao Nishikimi J: Masaaki Ohata T: Isao Nishikimi	85	-	-	-	4%
Analysis Held his ground for fourth behind Stranger at Nagoya last start, beaten over 12 lengths but not shirking the task after being near the top of an open market. That followed a third to Stay Lucky, where he had plenty to do and still came home strongly into the money. The 21-start maiden record is the obvious concern, yet his recent consistency makes him a genuine winning chance in this field.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.