JP - Nagoya - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

7.5f

Unknown

Dirt

6.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

MIYAZAKI MUSUME (10) is the right starting point despite failing as favourite when sixth here a fortnight ago, beaten five lengths by Win Prime. Her previous fifth behind Etoile Fille was sound enough for this field, and the recent head-to-head edge over Teru Reine adds to the case. LUMINOUS REINA (3) is the main danger on class relief, returning to Nagoya second-up after finishing 12th in a 3yo Maiden over 1 ?m at Niigata, the drop back to 7 ½f is the query, but this is a more suitable assignment. TERU REINE (11) has a poor latest margin to overcome, yet the distance profile keeps her in the winning discussion if she can rebound. BATTLE SELENE (4) also needs sharp improvement after being beaten over 13 lengths at Chukyo Dirt, though her class drop from 3yo Maiden company gives her enough scope to run into the race.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Was sent out favourite at Nagoya last start and disappointed in sixth, beaten five lengths by Win Prime after being in touch but failing to threaten. The previous fifth behind Etoile Fille was a better guide, and she did have Teru Reine covered in that recent matchup. Race fit, down in weight to 117lbs and well placed in this company, she deserves another chance. 1st Pick 10 Miyazaki Musume Jockey: Aoi Kinomae Trainer: Naomi Tobe J: Aoi Kinomae T: Naomi Tobe	81	-	-	-	5%
Analysis Was sent out favourite at Nagoya last start and disappointed in sixth, beaten five lengths by Win Prime after being in touch but failing to threaten. The previous fifth behind Etoile Fille was a better guide, and she did have Teru Reine covered in that recent matchup. Race fit, down in weight to 117lbs and well placed in this company, she deserves another chance.
3	Returns from a one-month freshening after a 12th in a 3yo Maiden over 1m at Niigata, beaten eight and a half lengths by Yamame Hope after conceding a huge start. Her Tokyo run prior was also plain, but she now drops in class and is second-up into 7 ½f. The back in trip is the main query, yet this field gives her a genuine chance to improve. 2nd Pick 3 Luminous Reina Jockey: Masaaki Ohata Trainer: Hitomi Miyashita J: Masaaki Ohata T: Hitomi Miyashita	135	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Returns from a one-month freshening after a 12th in a 3yo Maiden over 1m at Niigata, beaten eight and a half lengths by Yamame Hope after conceding a huge start. Her Tokyo run prior was also plain, but she now drops in class and is second-up into 7 ½f. The back in trip is the main query, yet this field gives her a genuine chance to improve.
11	Was never competitive at Nagoya last start, finishing eighth behind Ho O Wise and beaten out of sight after sitting handy enough. Her previous last behind Etoile Fille was at least closer, beaten just under eight lengths, and the supplied distance rating is a positive. The 21-start maiden record tempers confidence, but she can improve into this field. 3rd Pick 11 Teru Reine Jockey: Myojo Haru Dai Trainer: Akiko Okita J: Myojo Haru Dai T: Akiko Okita	90	-	-	-	3%
Analysis Was never competitive at Nagoya last start, finishing eighth behind Ho O Wise and beaten out of sight after sitting handy enough. Her previous last behind Etoile Fille was at least closer, beaten just under eight lengths, and the supplied distance rating is a positive. The 21-start maiden record tempers confidence, but she can improve into this field.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.