JP - Nagoya - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

7.5f

Unknown

Dirt

GOOD

6.4K

VIEW

Verdict

ANFANG (1) met with solid support when resuming last start over 7 ½f at this track when third, beaten 2.5 lengths. Has a good association with Junki Mochizuki with a run of three top-three results. Expecting a bold showing. AGNES (4) improved last start but found a couple better over 7f at this track, beaten 3 lengths. Well placed and looks a hope. ASTORE TIARA (9) has put together back-to-back placings, the latest when third over 7f at this track when she was prominent throughout. Finds a suitable race and can feature. UP MEIHIME (8) missed the placings last start when ninth over 7 ½f at this track. Likely improver.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second run back. First-up after five months raced on the pace when 3rd of 12 at this track on March 24 over 7 ½f, 2.5 len behind Fu Dao Le with 126lbs at $1.80. Previously second-up 8th of 11 at this track on August 21 over 7 ½f, 17 len behind Colocation carrying 126lbs at $3.20. Even fitter and is an excellent winning chance. 1st Pick 1 Anfang Jockey: Junki Mochizuki Trainer: Fujigasaki Kazuhito J: Junki Mochizuki T: Fujigasaki Kazuhito	168	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months raced on the pace when 3rd of 12 at this track on March 24 over 7 ½f, 2.5 len behind Fu Dao Le with 126lbs at $1.80. Previously second-up 8th of 11 at this track on August 21 over 7 ½f, 17 len behind Colocation carrying 126lbs at $3.20. Even fitter and is an excellent winning chance.
4	Most recently raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on March 24 over 7f, 3 len behind Pachira Sweet carrying 117lbs at $21.60. The start before that 9th of 11 at this track on March 10 over 7 ½f, 9 len behind Derma Ganymede with 121lbs at $14.40. Nice effort last time so worth following up. 2nd Pick 4 Agnes Jockey: Aoi Kinomae Trainer: Satoshi Inoue J: Aoi Kinomae T: Satoshi Inoue	153	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Most recently raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on March 24 over 7f, 3 len behind Pachira Sweet carrying 117lbs at $21.60. The start before that 9th of 11 at this track on March 10 over 7 ½f, 9 len behind Derma Ganymede with 121lbs at $14.40. Nice effort last time so worth following up.
9	Recent form sound. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at this track on March 23 over 7f, 3 len behind Lunar Phase with 121lbs at $17.30. Before that 2nd of 11 at this track on March 9 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Dual Blade with 121lbs at $30.30. Could easily blow them away in the dying stages. 3rd Pick 9 Astore Tiara Jockey: Hiroki Murakami Trainer: Akiko Okita J: Hiroki Murakami T: Akiko Okita	85	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at this track on March 23 over 7f, 3 len behind Lunar Phase with 121lbs at $17.30. Before that 2nd of 11 at this track on March 9 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Dual Blade with 121lbs at $30.30. Could easily blow them away in the dying stages.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.