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Resulted

JP - Nagoya - Race 1

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7.5f
Unknown
Dirt
6.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SANONO SE LEVE (11) sets the standard after two seconds from two starts at Nagoya, most recently beaten a neck as odds-on favourite by Nishiki Birkin. She has already placed at this distance and brings the clearest recent form, so she is the runner the others have to lift to beat. CHOCO BROWNIE (12) has plain figures, but the 16th at Niigata in a 3yo Maiden was only just over eight lengths from Suteki Surprise and she returns second-up into a weaker-looking assignment with a leading jockey booked. IRON (6) was better found in an open market here last start and the class drop keeps him in calculations, though he must improve sharply on being beaten over 12 lengths by Sun Road. ORIENTAL GIRL (10) is still winless from seven starts, yet she was near the top of betting at Nagoya last time and has enough placement in this field to be a value threat if she produces more at the end of 7 ½f.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Sanono Se Leve silk

Went within a neck of breaking through at Nagoya last start, finishing second to Nishiki Birkin after being pipped late as the odds-on favourite. Her debut second here over 4f behind Sumireno Hana also reads well, and she has placed at both track runs and at her only attempt at this distance. Likely to race forward and, third-up, she clearly brings the strongest winning profile.

1st Pick
11

Sanono Se Leve

Jockey: Takahiro Imai

Trainer: Uto Hideki

J: Takahiro Imai

T: Uto Hideki

300---25%

Analysis

Went within a neck of breaking through at Nagoya last start, finishing second to Nishiki Birkin after being pipped late as the odds-on favourite. Her debut second here over 4f behind Sumireno Hana also reads well, and she has placed at both track runs and at her only attempt at this distance. Likely to race forward and, third-up, she clearly brings the strongest winning profile.

12
Choco Brownie silk

Returns from a one-month freshening after finishing 16th in a 3yo Maiden at Niigata, beaten just over eight lengths by Suteki Surprise after settling well back. Her debut at Fukushima was much weaker, finishing second last and beaten over 16 lengths by Dempsey. The form is not attractive on paper, but she is lightly raced, second-up and drops into a race where that Niigata margin gives her a real chance.

2nd Pick
12

Choco Brownie

Jockey: Seigo Tsukamoto

Trainer: Naomi Tobe

J: Seigo Tsukamoto

T: Naomi Tobe

93---34%

Analysis

Returns from a one-month freshening after finishing 16th in a 3yo Maiden at Niigata, beaten just over eight lengths by Suteki Surprise after settling well back. Her debut at Fukushima was much weaker, finishing second last and beaten over 16 lengths by Dempsey. The form is not attractive on paper, but she is lightly raced, second-up and drops into a race where that Niigata margin gives her a real chance.

6
Iron silk

Was near the top of an open market at Nagoya last start but finished seventh, beaten over 12 lengths by Sun Road after giving little late. The run prior in a 3yo Maiden over 6f at Chukyo Dirt was also well held behind Gold Arch. Those figures read poorly, yet the market respect here last time and the class drop keep him a genuine winning chance if he finds more at the end.

3rd Pick
6

Iron

Jockey: Aoi Kinomae

Trainer: Enokiya Mitsuru

J: Aoi Kinomae

T: Enokiya Mitsuru

50---34%

Analysis

Was near the top of an open market at Nagoya last start but finished seventh, beaten over 12 lengths by Sun Road after giving little late. The run prior in a 3yo Maiden over 6f at Chukyo Dirt was also well held behind Gold Arch. Those figures read poorly, yet the market respect here last time and the class drop keep him a genuine winning chance if he finds more at the end.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.