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14 Min Till Start

JP - Nagoya - Race 1

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7.5f
Unknown
Dirt
GOOD
6.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MONATO (5) maiden galloper in first campaign. Unplaced at all three runs, the latest when sixth over 7 ½f at this track two weeks ago. Terrific chance to find some form. PIENA VIVA SAMBA (3) didn't feature last start when 15th over 6f at Hanshin Dirt. Won't find this as tough so he is perfectly placed to feature. HOUSE ON FIRE (10) was out of the money when resuming from a spell last start over 7f at Tokyo Dirt. Strips fitter and finds easier. BEAR FORCE ONE (9) is a four-start maiden who resumed from a spell last start and was 11th over 6f at Nakayama Dirt. Will derive great benefit from that outing and deserves consideration in this suitable race.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Monato silk

Last start settled back and ran on when 6th of 11 at this track on March 24 over 7 ½f, 14 len behind Queen's Tsubaki with 112lbs at $13.50. The start before that ran last of 15 at Kyoto on February 15 over 1 ¼m, 20 len behind Pika Kiwi with 121lbs at $342.40. Will hit the line hard.

1st Pick
5

Monato

Jockey: Ogasawara Antelope

Trainer: Akiko Okita

J: Ogasawara Antelope

T: Akiko Okita

97---34%2/1

Analysis

Last start settled back and ran on when 6th of 11 at this track on March 24 over 7 ½f, 14 len behind Queen's Tsubaki with 112lbs at $13.50. The start before that ran last of 15 at Kyoto on February 15 over 1 ¼m, 20 len behind Pika Kiwi with 121lbs at $342.40. Will hit the line hard.

3
Piena Viva Samba silk

Most recently second last of 16 at Hanshin Dirt on March 15 over 6f, 17 len behind Seiun Basilisk with 126lbs at $339.90. Before that 11th of 16 at Kyoto Dirt on January 17 over 6f, 8 len behind Glasgow carrying 126lbs at $511.90. Will prove tough to stave off.

2nd Pick
3

Piena Viva Samba

Jockey: Takahiro Imai

Trainer: Naoto Takeshita

J: Takahiro Imai

T: Naoto Takeshita

98---9%11/1

Analysis

Most recently second last of 16 at Hanshin Dirt on March 15 over 6f, 17 len behind Seiun Basilisk with 126lbs at $339.90. Before that 11th of 16 at Kyoto Dirt on January 17 over 6f, 8 len behind Glasgow carrying 126lbs at $511.90. Will prove tough to stave off.

10
House On Fire silk

Racing second-up today. Freshened for 46 days. Last start 10th of 16 at Tokyo Dirt on February 21 over 7f, 8 len behind Super Girl with 121lbs at $311.10. At only start last preparation second last of 13 at Nakayama Dirt on December 6 over 1m, 21 len behind Honey Orchestra with 121lbs at $207.60. Improvement likely and looks a big chance.

3rd Pick
10

House On Fire

Jockey: Soichi Kato

Trainer: Uto Hideki

J: Soichi Kato

T: Uto Hideki

176---10%9/1

Analysis

Racing second-up today. Freshened for 46 days. Last start 10th of 16 at Tokyo Dirt on February 21 over 7f, 8 len behind Super Girl with 121lbs at $311.10. At only start last preparation second last of 13 at Nakayama Dirt on December 6 over 1m, 21 len behind Honey Orchestra with 121lbs at $207.60. Improvement likely and looks a big chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.