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    Resulted

    GB - Musselburgh - Race 6

    Thoroughbred
    7 Runners
    23.6f
    Handicap Chase
    Turf
    Good to Soft
    27.5K

    VIEW

    R1
    R2
    R3
    R4
    R5
    R6

    All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

    Verdict

    KELCE pulled clear of the rest when runner-up at Aintree last time and a reproduction of that would probably suffice in this contest. He may have most to fear from Irish raiders Sammy Smart and Rexem, with the former just about feared most on the back of his Punchestown success.
    numberFire Picks
    Horse Stats
    #/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
    5
    Kelce (Ire) silk

    Much improved switched to fences with cheekpieces applied last season, winning twice. Latest second at Aintree (25f, good) just about a career-best and hard to grumble with a 1 lb rise for that. so there are good reasons to be optimistic about his prospects here.

    1st Pick
    5

    Kelce (Ire)

    Jockey: Conor O'farrell

    Trainer: Neil Mulholland

    J: Conor O'farrell

    T: Neil Mulholland

    		100---42%

    Analysis

    Much improved switched to fences with cheekpieces applied last season, winning twice. Latest second at Aintree (25f, good) just about a career-best and hard to grumble with a 1 lb rise for that. so there are good reasons to be optimistic about his prospects here.

    6
    Sammy Smart silk

    Back from 7 months off with a good second in Thurles handicap chase in November. Built on that when narrowly prevailing at Punchestown (19.7f, good to soft) on New Year's Eve and while this 9 lb higher mark demands more, stepping back up in trip won't be an issue and he's unexposed as a chaser.

    2nd Pick
    6

    Sammy Smart

    Jockey: James Smith

    Trainer: T. Gibney, Ireland

    J: James Smith

    T: T. Gibney, Ireland

    		99---34%

    Analysis

    Back from 7 months off with a good second in Thurles handicap chase in November. Built on that when narrowly prevailing at Punchestown (19.7f, good to soft) on New Year's Eve and while this 9 lb higher mark demands more, stepping back up in trip won't be an issue and he's unexposed as a chaser.

    3
    Rexem (Ire) silk

    Landed small-field novices' handicap chase at Ludlow in autumn 2023. Sole subsequent success came in a Clonmel claiming hurdle in October but should add to that before long judged on his solid second back in this sphere in a Class 2 contest at this course (20.3f, good to soft) on New Year's Day.

    3rd Pick
    3

    Rexem (Ire)

    Jockey: D. A. Kidd

    Trainer: John Mcconnell, Ireland

    J: D. A. Kidd

    T: John Mcconnell, Ireland

    		98---19%

    Analysis

    Landed small-field novices' handicap chase at Ludlow in autumn 2023. Sole subsequent success came in a Clonmel claiming hurdle in October but should add to that before long judged on his solid second back in this sphere in a Class 2 contest at this course (20.3f, good to soft) on New Year's Day.

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    Horse Racing Basic Terms

    Colt

    A male horse that is four years of age or under.

    Main Track Only

    A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

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