GB - Musselburgh - Race 4

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

7.1f

Handicap

Turf

Good to Soft

11.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Most of these arrive with a question mark against them so it could pay to side with BRANDENBURG who had the worst of the draw when well held in a York nursery on his debut for Ann Duffield and had won twice prior to that. The First Drop is weighted to go well if a switch to nursery company sparks a resurgence and is next on the list ahead of Redcar scorer Rock Steady Beat.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Winner of 5f Beverley maiden in May (for Stephen Hanlon) and 6f Hamilton novice in July (for Noel Wilson). Had worst of draw when twelfth of 18 in nursery at York (6f, good) last month for another new yard. Well worth another chance. 1st Pick 2 Brandenburg Jockey: Paul Mulrennan Trainer: Ann Duffield J: Paul Mulrennan T: Ann Duffield	98	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Winner of 5f Beverley maiden in May (for Stephen Hanlon) and 6f Hamilton novice in July (for Noel Wilson). Had worst of draw when twelfth of 18 in nursery at York (6f, good) last month for another new yard. Well worth another chance.
5	Shaped well on his debut when a clear second in 7f Carlisle maiden in June. Well below that form both runs since though, gelded before coming in fifth of 13 in novice at Ripon (1m, good to firm) last month. Cheekpieces are now reached for on handicap debut. 2nd Pick 5 The First Drop Jockey: M. P. Sheehy Trainer: Adrian Keatley J: M. P. Sheehy T: Adrian Keatley	100	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Shaped well on his debut when a clear second in 7f Carlisle maiden in June. Well below that form both runs since though, gelded before coming in fifth of 13 in novice at Ripon (1m, good to firm) last month. Cheekpieces are now reached for on handicap debut.
3	Bounced back from 2 poor efforts when getting off the mark in 7-runner seller at Redcar (6f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Not out of things now going handicapping. 3rd Pick 3 Rock Steady Beat (Ire) Jockey: Clifford Lee Trainer: K. R. Burke J: Clifford Lee T: K. R. Burke	98	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Bounced back from 2 poor efforts when getting off the mark in 7-runner seller at Redcar (6f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Not out of things now going handicapping.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.