MY - Selangor Turf Club - Race 11

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

5.7f

Class 5

Turf

6.1K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

MOONGATE HERO (5) has the most reliable current profile, having placed at his past two runs behind Ari at this track after being sent out favourite each time. He is already a winner at this track and distance, gets Jose De Souza back aboard and has held his form better than most of these, so he is the horse to beat. ARAGON PEGASUS (11) brings the sharper last-start run, beaten a neck by Shadow Dancer over 5f, and his record around 5 ¾f is deep enough to say the extra ground is no obstacle. SABAH WIN (10) has to rebound from being beaten over 10 lengths, but his second to Ari two starts ago ties him directly into Moongate Hero and he has won at this track and distance. BATTLESTAR (1) is the seasoned danger, with five wins and eight places from 31 starts at this track and distance and a 9lbs claim to offset the weight.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Brings the most consistent recent form in the race, having run second behind Ari at this track last start after again starting favourite. That followed a third to the same horse, so the market respect has been justified even without the win. Barrier 14 asks a little, but he owns a win and two places from ten at this track and distance and gets his winning rider back. He sets the standard here. 1st Pick 5 Moongate Hero Jockey: Jose De Souza Trainer: Richard Lines J: Jose De Souza T: Richard Lines	88	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Brings the most consistent recent form in the race, having run second behind Ari at this track last start after again starting favourite. That followed a third to the same horse, so the market respect has been justified even without the win. Barrier 14 asks a little, but he owns a win and two places from ten at this track and distance and gets his winning rider back. He sets the standard here.
11	Went close at this track last start, beaten a neck by Shadow Dancer over 5f after being well found in an open market. That was a clear lift on his previous sixth to the same winner. He is seasoned rather than prolific, but two wins and 15 placings from 46 starts around 5 ¾f show the trip is familiar, and barrier four gives him every chance to hold that form. 2nd Pick 11 Aragon Pegasus Jockey: Y Aify Trainer: Lim Woei Chet J: Y Aify T: Lim Woei Chet	90	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Went close at this track last start, beaten a neck by Shadow Dancer over 5f after being well found in an open market. That was a clear lift on his previous sixth to the same winner. He is seasoned rather than prolific, but two wins and 15 placings from 46 starts around 5 ¾f show the trip is familiar, and barrier four gives him every chance to hold that form.
10	Has to rebound from a flat eighth behind Ari last start, beaten over 10 lengths after being near the top of an open market. The stronger reference is his second to Ari the run prior, when he finished ahead of Moongate Hero, and he now reaches peak fitness third-up. With a win and a placing from seven at this track and distance, he remains a genuine winning chance if he reproduces that earlier run. 3rd Pick 10 Sabah Win Jockey: Ph Seow Trainer: David Kok J: Ph Seow T: David Kok	82	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Has to rebound from a flat eighth behind Ari last start, beaten over 10 lengths after being near the top of an open market. The stronger reference is his second to Ari the run prior, when he finished ahead of Moongate Hero, and he now reaches peak fitness third-up. With a win and a placing from seven at this track and distance, he remains a genuine winning chance if he reproduces that earlier run.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.