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4:46 AM

NZ - Matamata - Race 8

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
14.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STAY FROSTY (1) has gone close to winning twice in finishing runner-up in each of his 3 starts to date. He is having no luck at all with his barrier draws, but with any luck, he can get the job done here. MOONBEAMS (10) has needed time to mature, and she ran her best race yet when finishing runner-up here 11 days ago. She cops a good gate, and with Craig Grylls picking up the ride, she can go one better. AL AZHAR (11) was tried in front at Pukekohe a fortnight ago, and was only run down late when finishing eighth. There will be no fitness concerns fourth up from a spell, and she may even try to take them all the way again. PRESUMING (2) resumed with a fair effort for fifth at Waipukurau just over 3 weeks ago, and he will be in tighter condition for this. He has only been lightly tried for a 6-year-old gelding, and he can be a quick improver. Each way value. SHOW MERICAN (8) made progress last year, and she will be a lot stronger now. Include in all top 4 combinations.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Stay Frosty silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 6f, slow going 0.5 len behind Sweet Smile carrying 125lbs at $5. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Te Rapa on January 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Katamuku with 129lbs at $10.90. Tough to beat.

1st Pick
1

Stay Frosty

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

J: Non Runner

T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

115---29%

Scratched

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 6f, slow going 0.5 len behind Sweet Smile carrying 125lbs at $5. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Te Rapa on January 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Katamuku with 129lbs at $10.90. Tough to beat.

10
Moonbeams silk

Dual acceptor. Last start sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at this track on February 28 over 7f, slow going 1.4 len behind Victor Tango carrying 123lbs at $10.30. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Waipukurau on February 15 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Beyond Me carrying 120lbs at $6.50. Working up to a win. Capable of fighting out the finish again.

2nd Pick
10

Moonbeams

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Andrew Forsman

J: Craig Grylls

T: Andrew Forsman

95---15%6/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Last start sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at this track on February 28 over 7f, slow going 1.4 len behind Victor Tango carrying 123lbs at $10.30. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Waipukurau on February 15 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Beyond Me carrying 120lbs at $6.50. Working up to a win. Capable of fighting out the finish again.

11
Al Azhar silk

Dual acceptor. Last start faded in the straight 8th of 14 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind La Diem carrying 126lbs at $13.40. Before that 3rd of 9 at Tauranga on February 5 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind O'sweet Darling carrying 122lbs at $6.20. Should prove hard to beat.

3rd Pick
11

Al Azhar

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

87---10%9/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Last start faded in the straight 8th of 14 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind La Diem carrying 126lbs at $13.40. Before that 3rd of 9 at Tauranga on February 5 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind O'sweet Darling carrying 122lbs at $6.20. Should prove hard to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.