NZ - Matamata - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

14.6K

VIEW

Verdict

CLARA BOW (10) has been thereabouts in both of her starts to date, and will have Craig Grylls replacing an apprentice this time. She tries a mile for the first time, and on her home track for her peak effort, she should be hard to hold out. SURPRISE INSIDE (8) got back too far from a wide gate at Te Aroha, and was doing her best work late that day. She has a big swing in her draw this time, and with an extra furlong on travel, she is worth another chance. Each-way value. CEASE AND DESIST (2) needed his fresh-up run, and then improved to run second at Tauranga nearly 3 weeks ago over 7f. He steps up to a mile, and with Opie Bosson keeping the faith, he can go one better in this. WILD THING (4) can do things wrong, but she was game in defeat when second at Ruakaka 15 days ago. She will take some pegging back in this. ALIKAT (5) will be peaking third up from a spell, and she will don the blinkers for the first time. Include her in all top 4 combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Raced twice to date. At debut, made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Tauranga on December 12 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Khaleesi carrying 119lbs at $22.40. Last start 4th of 12 at Tauranga on January 2 over 7 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Classic Champagne carrying 121lbs at $3.30. Has plenty of upside and can feature. 1st Pick 10 Clara Bow Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Craig Grylls T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	142	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Raced twice to date. At debut, made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Tauranga on December 12 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Khaleesi carrying 119lbs at $22.40. Last start 4th of 12 at Tauranga on January 2 over 7 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Classic Champagne carrying 121lbs at $3.30. Has plenty of upside and can feature.
8	Second-up. Comes off a 45-day let-up. First-up after eight months 10th of 14 at Te Aroha on December 7 over 7f, 6 len behind Unwritten with 125lbs at $5.20. Previously second-up 10th of 12 at Pukekohe on March 14 over 1m, slow going 22 len behind Annie Oakley carrying 123lbs at $10.60. Plenty of improvement to come. 2nd Pick 8 Surprise Inside Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: Non Runner T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	105	-	-	-	8%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. Comes off a 45-day let-up. First-up after eight months 10th of 14 at Te Aroha on December 7 over 7f, 6 len behind Unwritten with 125lbs at $5.20. Previously second-up 10th of 12 at Pukekohe on March 14 over 1m, slow going 22 len behind Annie Oakley carrying 123lbs at $10.60. Plenty of improvement to come.
2	Third-up today. Resuming 7th of 13 at Te Aroha on December 7 over 5 ¾f, 11 len behind Drops Of God with 126lbs at $6.20. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Tauranga on January 2 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Rising Wind carrying 126lbs at $11.90. Leading hope this time. 3rd Pick 2 Cease And Desist Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Opie Bosson T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	170	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 7th of 13 at Te Aroha on December 7 over 5 ¾f, 11 len behind Drops Of God with 126lbs at $6.20. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Tauranga on January 2 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Rising Wind carrying 126lbs at $11.90. Leading hope this time.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.