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3:19 AM

NZ - Matamata - Race 6

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 8
10.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PRIOVITA (5) made up a lot of late ground when resuming from his spell with a sound effort for fifth. A wide gate is against him here, but the extra 1f will help him, and he should be tough to hold out in this. SHE MEANS BUSINESS (9) has improved in each of her 2 starts to date for the powerful local Walker/Bergerson stable, and she is another in an even field with a solid each-way chance. SALTBURN (1) has gone close to winning a race in the past, and he only weakened late at Ellerslie last week when finishing fifth. A quick 7-day backup could be the key this time, and he should be right in the finish again. CONFECTIONIST (10) did not kick on as expected earlier in the season, and she was put aside to mature. She looks to have returned in great order after winning both of her tune-up trials, and with the advantage of a good gate she can make a positive return, especially if the money comes for her. DA DA WING (4) lacked some strength in his initial campaign. Expect better.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Priovita silk

Second-up. First-up after four months 5th of 13 at Ellerslie on April 27 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Biding My Time carrying 128lbs at $22.40. Previously second-up 8th of 10 at Otaki 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 26 over 7f, slow going 11 len behind Fringes carrying 127lbs at $6.40. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

1st Pick
5

Priovita

Jockey: George Rooke

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: George Rooke

T: Stephen Marsh

98---14%13/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after four months 5th of 13 at Ellerslie on April 27 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Biding My Time carrying 128lbs at $22.40. Previously second-up 8th of 10 at Otaki 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 26 over 7f, slow going 11 len behind Fringes carrying 127lbs at $6.40. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

9
She Means Business silk

Had two starts to date. At debut, 4th of 10 at this track on March 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Rioja carrying 123lbs at $7.90. Last start 4th of 8 at Arawa Park on April 22 over 6f, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Elusive Faith with 119lbs at $6.20. Well-placed and should prove hard to beat.

2nd Pick
9

She Means Business

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

118---15%6/1

Analysis

Had two starts to date. At debut, 4th of 10 at this track on March 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Rioja carrying 123lbs at $7.90. Last start 4th of 8 at Arawa Park on April 22 over 6f, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Elusive Faith with 119lbs at $6.20. Well-placed and should prove hard to beat.

1
Saltburn silk

At the latest run 5th of 12 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Curved Glory carrying 125lbs at $6.30. The run before that led but faded 2nd of 10 at Arawa Park on April 22 over 7f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Shuffle The Pack carrying 127lbs at $13. Rates highly and is one of the major players.

3rd Pick
1

Saltburn

Jockey: Amber Riddell

Trainer: Josh King & Maija Vance

J: Amber Riddell

T: Josh King & Maija Vance

163---8%12/1

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 12 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Curved Glory carrying 125lbs at $6.30. The run before that led but faded 2nd of 10 at Arawa Park on April 22 over 7f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Shuffle The Pack carrying 127lbs at $13. Rates highly and is one of the major players.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.