NZ - Matamata - Race 5

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

9.9f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

20.6K

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Verdict

LEVAKIA (3) is a very progressive stayer in the making, and she looks to be perfectly placed in this with 7lbs less than she carried into sixth at Te Rapa just over a month ago. She won her penultimate start at Pukekohe before that, and she is the one to beat for us. ALTARI (4) was doing his best work late over a mile at Whanganui 17 days ago, and he is having his first start over a middle distance here. He cops a decent gate, and more importantly, he has Craig Grylls in the saddle for the first time. Each way. CROWN PRINCESS (5) capped off some solid improving form with a comfortable win by nearly a length at Taupo over 1 ?m. The extra furlong this time will be ideal, and she can repeat the dose. GIACOMO (2) has a good record here on his home track, and he is usually thereabouts at this level. Stick with him on an each-way basis. FLY MY WEY (1) has not won for some time, but he will be facing his easiest assignment in a while here. A 7lbs claim will help. Include in all top 4 combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Returns from a 32-day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 12 at Te Rapa on February 7 over 1 5/16m, slow going 3 len behind Just Call Me Jonny with 129lbs at $5.50. The run before that came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Pukekohe January 18 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Ruach carrying 125lbs at $3.60. Is the one to beat in this. 1st Pick 3 Levakia Jockey: Jasmine Fawcett Trainer: Ken & Bev Kelso J: Jasmine Fawcett T: Ken & Bev Kelso	116	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Returns from a 32-day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 12 at Te Rapa on February 7 over 1 5/16m, slow going 3 len behind Just Call Me Jonny with 129lbs at $5.50. The run before that came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Pukekohe January 18 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Ruach carrying 125lbs at $3.60. Is the one to beat in this.
4	Last start 4th of 10 at Wanganui on February 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Belle Tribute carrying 125lbs at $12.60. The start before that second last of 13 at Ellerslie on January 31 over 1m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Sorghaghtani carrying 125lbs at $13.30. Rates highly and should run well. 2nd Pick 4 Altari Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Craig Grylls T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	104	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 4th of 10 at Wanganui on February 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Belle Tribute carrying 125lbs at $12.60. The start before that second last of 13 at Ellerslie on January 31 over 1m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Sorghaghtani carrying 125lbs at $13.30. Rates highly and should run well.
5	Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.7 len at Taupo February 22 over 1m defeating Lucan carrying 127lbs at $1.90. The run before that 2nd of 10 at Tauranga on February 5 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.3 len behind El Arish with 125lbs at $3.30. Well placed and sure to be in the finish. 3rd Pick 5 Crown Princess Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	84	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.7 len at Taupo February 22 over 1m defeating Lucan carrying 127lbs at $1.90. The run before that 2nd of 10 at Tauranga on February 5 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.3 len behind El Arish with 125lbs at $3.30. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.

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