NZ - Matamata - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

9.9f

Unknown

Turf

HEAVY 8

14.6K

VIEW

Verdict

JACK CRABB (2) has improved each time this prep as he has got up over a longer trip. He will be spot on with his fitness for his first run over a middle distance, and with the blinkers off, he should go close to taking this out. HAPPY VENTURE (1) was probably a touch disappointing last time out at Arawa Park, but that was his first time over a middle distance, so he can be forgiven. He is still early in his prep, and he can improve here to figure in the top 3. Stick with him. SUBIACO (6) has tackled some better fields over a mile recently, and his only win did come at this BM60 while he was still a maiden. A form reversal is expected this time. INTOXICATED (7) will be backing up quickly from a last start sixth at Te Rapa 5 days ago. That could be the key to him finding some decent form again. VESPACIAN (9) has found it hard to win another race, but the same applies to most in this. She is peaking third up and worth including in all combinations.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Last start 5th of 14 at Ellerslie on January 1 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind Up The Anti with 127lbs at $21.30. The race before that 5th of 11 at Tauranga on December 12 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind El Arish carrying 128lbs at $13. Not a bad effort last time and is open to improvement. 1st Pick 2 Jack Crabb Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: Non Runner T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	85	-	-	-	16%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 5th of 14 at Ellerslie on January 1 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind Up The Anti with 127lbs at $21.30. The race before that 5th of 11 at Tauranga on December 12 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind El Arish carrying 128lbs at $13. Not a bad effort last time and is open to improvement.
1	Most recently 4th of 8 at Arawa Park on December 27 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 4 len behind Rosina with 126lbs at $6. The run before that 6th of 11 at Tauranga on December 12 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind El Arish carrying 128lbs at $17.80. Tough to beat if near his best. 2nd Pick 1 Happy Venture Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Cliff Goss J: Non Runner T: Cliff Goss	125	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently 4th of 8 at Arawa Park on December 27 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 4 len behind Rosina with 126lbs at $6. The run before that 6th of 11 at Tauranga on December 12 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind El Arish carrying 128lbs at $17.80. Tough to beat if near his best.
6	Last start 10th of 13 at Trentham on January 3 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Bradley carrying 127lbs at $9.90. The race before that 9th of 14 at Trentham on December 6 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Knickerless carrying 128lbs at $9.90. Can turn around the recent ordinary efforts. 3rd Pick 6 Subiaco Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Peter & Shaun Mckay J: Non Runner T: Peter & Shaun Mckay	104	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 10th of 13 at Trentham on January 3 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Bradley carrying 127lbs at $9.90. The race before that 9th of 14 at Trentham on December 6 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Knickerless carrying 128lbs at $9.90. Can turn around the recent ordinary efforts.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.