NZ - Matamata - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

10.1K

VIEW

Verdict

LUVABEEL (2) is probably unlucky to still be a maiden, and her resuming effort for a narrowly beaten second at Ellerslie just over 2 weeks ago was full of merit. The step up from 7f to 1m is the key for us, and she is the one to beat. MORE BLISS (1) ran on late for second at Ta Rapa last time out and was runner-up here before that when resuming from a spell. She will be spot on third up, and she can get the job done here. IN YOUR DREAMS (4) did a few things wrong fresh up at Ellerslie and those problems would have been ironed out since then. She has already shown that she has talent, and she is worth another chance in this. Each-way. CHOREOMANIA (3) had plenty of trial experience prior to finishing second on debut at Pukekohe, and she will only continue to improve with more racing. Stick with her. PINK PETRA (6) made a satisfactory debut at Ellerslie over 7f, and her breeding suggests that she will be even better over more ground. She has a home track advantage. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Second run back. First-up after six months made ground from midfield, 2nd of 13 at Ellerslie on April 27 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.2 len behind Durrani with 125lbs at $8. Previously second-up 3rd in a small field at this track on October 4 over 7f, on heavy track, 5 len behind Smart Tip with 125lbs at $1.90. Winning chance with that run under the belt. 1st Pick 2 Luvabeel Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Michael Mcnab T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	155	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months made ground from midfield, 2nd of 13 at Ellerslie on April 27 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.2 len behind Durrani with 125lbs at $8. Previously second-up 3rd in a small field at this track on October 4 over 7f, on heavy track, 5 len behind Smart Tip with 125lbs at $1.90. Winning chance with that run under the belt.
1	Dual acceptor. Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on March 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Artamos with 126lbs at $3.70. Second run from a spell took up a position near the tail 2nd of 10 at Te Rapa 3yo SWP on April 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Single Red with 120lbs at $7.50. Cherry-ripe now and sure to be very competitive. 2nd Pick 1 More Bliss Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Unknown Jockey T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	141	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on March 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Artamos with 126lbs at $3.70. Second run from a spell took up a position near the tail 2nd of 10 at Te Rapa 3yo SWP on April 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Single Red with 120lbs at $7.50. Cherry-ripe now and sure to be very competitive.
4	Second-up. First-up after three months 9th of 15 at Ellerslie on April 27 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Wee Nessy with 122lbs at $9. Previously second-up second last of 11 at Trentham in the G3 Desert Gold Stakes on January 17 over 1m, slow going 12 len behind Fairy Dream with 125lbs at $18.10. Rates highly and looks a strong winning hope. 3rd Pick 4 In Your Dreams Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Matt Cartwright T: Stephen Marsh	65	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months 9th of 15 at Ellerslie on April 27 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Wee Nessy with 122lbs at $9. Previously second-up second last of 11 at Trentham in the G3 Desert Gold Stakes on January 17 over 1m, slow going 12 len behind Fairy Dream with 125lbs at $18.10. Rates highly and looks a strong winning hope.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.