NZ - Matamata - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

10.1K

VIEW

Verdict

CENTURIAL (1) followed up his narrow defeat by a head in his penultimate start at Pukekohe with a solid fourth in a stronger field at Ellerslie last time out. Dropping back from 7f to 6f is the only query, but he is still the one to beat for us. PETITE ROCHER (6) was well supported when failing to run on at Arawa Park 3 weeks ago on a track that was too heavy, and that circuit can trip up a few horses as well. Her form prior was very good, and she can make amends. Stick with her. ELECTRIC ANGEL (5) was put aside after 2 good runs in her first couple of starts in January. A recent trial will ensure that she will be ready to rumble fresh. CHAPPY (2) just battled on debut in December, and he looks to have gone the right way over his spell. He won a recent trial very easily, and he will have plenty of admirers fresh up on his home track. FLORESCENCE (10) makes her debut from the powerful Walker/Bergerson stable, and she has had plenty of trial experience. Follow the money.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Last start 5th of 15 at Ellerslie on April 27 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind Wee Nessy with 122lbs at $5.10. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 7f, in the wet, 0.3 len behind Starclan carrying 128lbs at $3.40. Ready to break through. 1st Pick 1 Centurial Jockey: Wiremu Pinn Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Wiremu Pinn T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	161	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Last start 5th of 15 at Ellerslie on April 27 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind Wee Nessy with 122lbs at $5.10. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 7f, in the wet, 0.3 len behind Starclan carrying 128lbs at $3.40. Ready to break through.
6	At the latest run 6th of 8 at Arawa Park on April 22 over 6f, in the wet, 6 len behind Elusive Faith with 123lbs at $3.70. The run before that 2nd of 10 at this track on March 22 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Rioja carrying 119lbs at $3.30. Better than the last effort suggests and can bounce back. 2nd Pick 6 Petite Rocher Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Michael Mcnab T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	126	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 8 at Arawa Park on April 22 over 6f, in the wet, 6 len behind Elusive Faith with 123lbs at $3.70. The run before that 2nd of 10 at this track on March 22 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Rioja carrying 119lbs at $3.30. Better than the last effort suggests and can bounce back.
5	Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 9 at Te Rapa January 16 over 1m, soft track, 1.0 len behind Arthur carrying 122lbs at $6.20. On debut second of 10 at Tauranga 3yo Mdn-Sw January 2 over 7f, soft track, 1.5 len behind Lunaman with 122lbs at $13.50. Expected to feature. 3rd Pick 5 Electric Angel Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: George Rooke T: Stephen Marsh	68	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 9 at Te Rapa January 16 over 1m, soft track, 1.0 len behind Arthur carrying 122lbs at $6.20. On debut second of 10 at Tauranga 3yo Mdn-Sw January 2 over 7f, soft track, 1.5 len behind Lunaman with 122lbs at $13.50. Expected to feature.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.