NZ - Matamata - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

10.8K

VIEW

Verdict

CONISTON (3) had won 3 trials leading up to a modest effort fresh up for seventh when starting as a warm favourite. He did himself no favours that day by racing greenly throughout. He would have derived plenty of benefit from that run, and can set the record straight in this. CONCURRENCE (4) makes his debut after some handy trials. He may want more ground soon enough, but with plenty of breeding to live up to, he will be ready to rumble on his home track. RUSSIAN PRIME (7) just missed on debut at Ellerslie, before failing to cop the wet track at Ruakaka as the favourite there just over a month ago. Stick with her. VINTAGE ROSE (10) is a stablemate of the second pick, and she too will also want more ground than this, but she is on debut, and sure to be running on. VODKA AND CAVIAR (8) was put aside after an encouraging effort on debut in her sole run as a juvenile. She will be stronger now, and with a couple of trials under her belt, she is worth including in all combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Was well-supported at debut, from last on the turn 7th of 13 at Te Rapa on August 22 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Texas Cowboy carrying 127lbs at $2.70. Battled home well on debut and can feature with a bit of improvement. 1st Pick 3 Coniston Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Michael Mcnab T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	62	-	-	-	53%	10/11
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, from last on the turn 7th of 13 at Te Rapa on August 22 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Texas Cowboy carrying 127lbs at $2.70. Battled home well on debut and can feature with a bit of improvement.
4	Colt by Tagaloa making his first appearance. Finished fourth in a Te Awamutu trial over 5 ¾f on August 25. No surprise to see him feature. 2nd Pick 4 Concurrence Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Craig Grylls T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	77	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Colt by Tagaloa making his first appearance. Finished fourth in a Te Awamutu trial over 5 ¾f on August 25. No surprise to see him feature.
7	Dual acceptor. Lining up for just third start. At debut, 2nd of 9 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind Back Of The Bus with 119lbs at $6.80. Last start 5th of 13 at Ruakaka on August 15 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Fraudster carrying 119lbs at $3.50. Will be hard to beat. 3rd Pick 7 Russian Prime Jockey: Kyle Wilson-Taylor Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray	84	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Lining up for just third start. At debut, 2nd of 9 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind Back Of The Bus with 119lbs at $6.80. Last start 5th of 13 at Ruakaka on August 15 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Fraudster carrying 119lbs at $3.50. Will be hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.