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12:34 midnight

NZ - Matamata - Race 1

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
9.9f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
14.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RELEASED (8) was beaten by a nose on debut, and then was less than a length from the winner when finishing runner-up again 2 weeks ago at Pukekohe, when starting from a wide gate. He tries a middle distance for his peak effort third up, and he goes on top for us. THE KING OF JAZZ (9) treks North from New Plymouth, and his last start as favourite when finishing fourth over a mile at Trentham was full of merit. The extra 2f is ideal, and he can take this out, so follow your money. LA DANZA (13) has been running on strongly in each of her 4 starts to date, and she was third at Taupo 17 days ago. She is likely to sit off the pace, and if she is close enough when they turn for home, she is good enough to have the last say. THEE AULD TRICK (12) will be peaking third up from a spell, and a handy gate will be an assist here. She is not out of this at some decent each-way value. SUMMER IN LONDON (14) was probably half a run short at Pukekohe a fortnight ago, and she is right up to winning.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Released silk

Third race start today. At debut, sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at Waipukurau on February 15 over 1m, slow going 0.1 len behind Speedie O'reilly carrying 126lbs at $5.20. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 14 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Castle Rock carrying 128lbs at $14.60. Capable of a better showing. Expected to feature.

1st Pick
8

Released

Jockey: Matthew Cameron

Trainer: Andrew Forsman

J: Matthew Cameron

T: Andrew Forsman

123---23%7/2

Analysis

Third race start today. At debut, sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at Waipukurau on February 15 over 1m, slow going 0.1 len behind Speedie O'reilly carrying 126lbs at $5.20. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 14 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Castle Rock carrying 128lbs at $14.60. Capable of a better showing. Expected to feature.

9
The King Of Jazz silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 14 at Trentham on March 1 over 1m, slow going 2.5 len behind Summit Up with 128lbs at $5. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on February 13 over 1m, on a wet track, 1.1 len behind Captain Stan carrying 128lbs at $6.70. Finds a nice race this time and looks hard to beat.

2nd Pick
9

The King Of Jazz

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Robbie Patterson

J: Craig Grylls

T: Robbie Patterson

126---63%3/5

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 14 at Trentham on March 1 over 1m, slow going 2.5 len behind Summit Up with 128lbs at $5. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on February 13 over 1m, on a wet track, 1.1 len behind Captain Stan carrying 128lbs at $6.70. Finds a nice race this time and looks hard to beat.

13
La Danza silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 11 at Taupo on February 22 over 1m, 3 len behind Camacho carrying 121lbs at $6.40. The race before that 3rd of 10 at Tauranga on January 2 over 1 5/16m, slow going 1.75 len behind Golden Jacket carrying 121lbs at $3.20. Great chance to break through.

3rd Pick
13

La Danza

Jockey: Tayla Mitchell

Trainer: Darryn & Briar Weatherley

J: Tayla Mitchell

T: Darryn & Briar Weatherley

80---15%6/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 11 at Taupo on February 22 over 1m, 3 len behind Camacho carrying 121lbs at $6.40. The race before that 3rd of 10 at Tauranga on January 2 over 1 5/16m, slow going 1.75 len behind Golden Jacket carrying 121lbs at $3.20. Great chance to break through.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

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The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.