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2:16 AM

NZH - Mount Harding - Race 6

Harness
11 Runners
8f
Unknown
Turf
5.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SMOKING ASHES (2) finished fourth last start, beaten 23 metres at Addington over 1 ³/16m. No excuses from this advantageous draw. Finds a nice race and will take plenty of beating. CARRERA BANDIDO (6) hasn't been too far off them of late and again performed well last time over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway, finishing fourth and just 5 metres from the winner. Meets a comparable field and he can take this out. MIRACLE MEMPHIS (8) is the next best after finishing third over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway last time out. JUSTIFICATION (10) cannot be ruled out but needs a bit of luck from the tricky draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Smoking Ashes silk

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1 ³/16m at Addington beaten 23 m by Easton Doll (2:22.70) on August 28 at $13.70. Before that, 6th (Sr4) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 5.5 m by Kotare Argent (2:31.40) in 4yo+ on August 23 at $4.40. Capable of bouncing back.

1st Pick
2

Smoking Ashes

Jockey: John Dunn

Trainer: Robert & Jenna Dunn

J: John Dunn

T: Robert & Jenna Dunn

77---53%10/11

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1 ³/16m at Addington beaten 23 m by Easton Doll (2:22.70) on August 28 at $13.70. Before that, 6th (Sr4) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 5.5 m by Kotare Argent (2:31.40) in 4yo+ on August 23 at $4.40. Capable of bouncing back.

6
Carrera Bandido silk

Last start 4th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 5 m by Remission (2:03.20) in 3yo+ on August 30 at $3.30. Before that, 4th (Sr3) over 1 ¼m at Oamaru, beaten 5.5 m by Impressive Shard (2:28.57) in 3yo+ on August 16 at $5.70. Expecting a much better run this time.

2nd Pick
6

Carrera Bandido

Jockey: Ricky May

Trainer: Warren Stapleton

J: Ricky May

T: Warren Stapleton

75---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 5 m by Remission (2:03.20) in 3yo+ on August 30 at $3.30. Before that, 4th (Sr3) over 1 ¼m at Oamaru, beaten 5.5 m by Impressive Shard (2:28.57) in 3yo+ on August 16 at $5.70. Expecting a much better run this time.

8
Miracle Memphis silk

Two back was beaten by 7 m finishing third behind Shadow Creek at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 3yo+ on July 31 at $6.40. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Monkee Major at Ashburton Raceway over 1 ¹/16m in a 4yo+ on August 9 at $6.60. One of the chances.

3rd Pick
8

Miracle Memphis

Jockey: Wilson House

Trainer: Michael House

J: Wilson House

T: Michael House

69---10%10/1

Analysis

Two back was beaten by 7 m finishing third behind Shadow Creek at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 3yo+ on July 31 at $6.40. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Monkee Major at Ashburton Raceway over 1 ¹/16m in a 4yo+ on August 9 at $6.60. One of the chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.