NZH - Mount Harding - Race 5

Harness

14 Runners

8.4f

Unknown

Turf

6.5K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

LIBERTY GIRL (3) could only manage to finish fifth at her latest appearance over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway, failing to live up to market expectations. Form prior to that was a better guide to her ability, including a sound second over 1 ?m at Oamaru two starts ago. Sure to enjoy an economical run from this draw. This looks a sterner test than last time but on her best form she is capable of a far better performance. BLU DIAMOND (12) has been competitive of late and kept the ball rolling last time when 7 metres from the winner in fourth over 1 ?m at Oamaru. Will need a bit of luck negotiating a very wide starting position. Meets a comparable field and he can take care of this line-up. DELIGHTFUL GALLEON (9) is in the mix following a fifth at his most recent appearance over 1 ?m at Addington. PICKETTYWITCH (1) is worth some thought after her last-start fourth over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway on August 30.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Last start 5th (Fr8) over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 10 m by Ultimatum (3:05.20) in 3yo+ on August 30 at $2.40. Before that, a solid effort when 2nd (Fr4) over 1m at Oamaru, beaten 3.5 m by Conan (3:19.66) in 3yo+ on August 16 at $20.60. Can bounce back. 1st Pick 3 Liberty Girl Jockey: Gemma Thornley Trainer: D L Mitchell J: Gemma Thornley T: D L Mitchell	77	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start 5th (Fr8) over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 10 m by Ultimatum (3:05.20) in 3yo+ on August 30 at $2.40. Before that, a solid effort when 2nd (Fr4) over 1m at Oamaru, beaten 3.5 m by Conan (3:19.66) in 3yo+ on August 16 at $20.60. Can bounce back.
12	Last start 4th (Fr6) over 1m at Oamaru, beaten 7 m by Conan (3:19.66) in 3yo+ on August 16 at $2.80. Before that, a solid effort when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 3 m by Rosario (3:00.50) in 3yo+ on August 9 at $8.60. Rates highly. Sure to be there at the business end. 2nd Pick 12 Blu Diamond Jockey: Ricky May Trainer: Ricky May J: Ricky May T: Ricky May	76	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 4th (Fr6) over 1m at Oamaru, beaten 7 m by Conan (3:19.66) in 3yo+ on August 16 at $2.80. Before that, a solid effort when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 3 m by Rosario (3:00.50) in 3yo+ on August 9 at $8.60. Rates highly. Sure to be there at the business end.
9	Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Nikolai Ray at Addington over 1m in a 3yo+ on July 17 at $7.40. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 3rd (Fr5) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 10 m by Ringleader (2:26.30) in 3yo+ on July 3 at $13.20. Big chance to find the winners' list. 3rd Pick 9 Delightful Galleon Jockey: Ben Hope Trainer: Greg & Ben Hope J: Ben Hope T: Greg & Ben Hope	75	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Nikolai Ray at Addington over 1m in a 3yo+ on July 17 at $7.40. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 3rd (Fr5) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 10 m by Ringleader (2:26.30) in 3yo+ on July 3 at $13.20. Big chance to find the winners' list.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.