AU - Illawarra Grange - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

32.1K

VIEW

Verdict

PRESIDES (1) won a comparable race to this on the outer track when fresh from a spell two back. Tackled a Midway at Gosford last start and was never a hope after copping early interference. Back in his right race and gets in well after the claim. Can bounce back to winning form. Sparingly raced filly KOSRAE (9) justified her $2.15 quote with an effortless maiden win over today's journey at Bathurst 18 days ago. Needs to go to another level this time but she looks up to the challenge. RIVER PAT (11) has turned in a couple of eye-catchers this prep, chiming in late to grab third over 5 ½f on each occasion. Has a strong record at this trip and handles the going so she makes plenty of appeal. Veteran ALL MACHIAVELLIAN (7) is fitter for two runs back from a spell. Won't want it any worse than soft though to show his best. FABRICE (2) trialled well at Gosford recently and looks set for a bright return from a 14-week spell.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at Kembla Grange Bm64 April 18 over 6f on a soft track defeating Smashing Time carrying 134lbs at $8.50. Last start 8th of 11 at Gosford Midway Bm72 on May 9 over 6f, 4 len behind Smashing Time with 128lbs at $7. Should be at his top now and can bounce back. 1st Pick 1 Presides Jockey: Coriah Keatings Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Coriah Keatings T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	209	-	-	-	29%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at Kembla Grange Bm64 April 18 over 6f on a soft track defeating Smashing Time carrying 134lbs at $8.50. Last start 8th of 11 at Gosford Midway Bm72 on May 9 over 6f, 4 len behind Smashing Time with 128lbs at $7. Should be at his top now and can bounce back.
9	Third-up today. First-up gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 7 at Goulburn Mdn-Sw on April 27 over 5 ½f, 1.0 len behind Tennessee Dolly with 121lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.75 len at Bathurst Mdn May 12 over 6f defeating Sant Gervasi with 123lbs at $2.15. Shows promise. Coming along in fine style and this is within reach. 2nd Pick 9 Kosrae Jockey: Christian Reith Trainer: Brad Widdup J: Christian Reith T: Brad Widdup	138	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 7 at Goulburn Mdn-Sw on April 27 over 5 ½f, 1.0 len behind Tennessee Dolly with 121lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.75 len at Bathurst Mdn May 12 over 6f defeating Sant Gervasi with 123lbs at $2.15. Shows promise. Coming along in fine style and this is within reach.
11	Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 10 at Wyong F&M Bm64 on April 30 over 5 ½f, 1.4 len behind Fairway To Heaven carrying 126lbs at $11. Second run from a spell 3rd of 8 at Hawkesbury F&M Bm64 on May 14 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Nullarbor Jane with 126lbs at $7.50. Well placed. Cherry ripe and expected to measure up. 3rd Pick 11 River Pat Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: Kim Waugh J: Keagan Latham T: Kim Waugh	123	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 10 at Wyong F&M Bm64 on April 30 over 5 ½f, 1.4 len behind Fairway To Heaven carrying 126lbs at $11. Second run from a spell 3rd of 8 at Hawkesbury F&M Bm64 on May 14 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Nullarbor Jane with 126lbs at $7.50. Well placed. Cherry ripe and expected to measure up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.