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6:09 AM

AU - Illawarra Grange - Race 7

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
6f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 5
28.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SEDUCTRA (3) did not do a great deal when last on the track. The first up run was a lot better though. Go on her 2yo form which was excellent. QUEEN'S RHAPSODY (1) has barely put in a bad one so far. Even when beaten it has not been by big margins. Gets a sweet run in transit. WILD COURAGE (6) got a deserved win at Wyong. You would think another ½f would only benefit her. SACROSANCT (2) comes from a stable in form. Could easily find her way into the placings again off that.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Nicolosi silk

Third-up today. Resuming led but faded 2nd of 11 in a Mdn at Nowra on October 18 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Baylie's Folly with 126lbs at $7. Second-up scored a big 3.5 len win in a Mdn at Nowra on November 1 over 6f defeating Diamond Dice carrying 127lbs at $3. Will be in this for a long way.

1st Pick
4

Nicolosi

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

J: Non Runner

T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

159---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming led but faded 2nd of 11 in a Mdn at Nowra on October 18 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Baylie's Folly with 126lbs at $7. Second-up scored a big 3.5 len win in a Mdn at Nowra on November 1 over 6f defeating Diamond Dice carrying 127lbs at $3. Will be in this for a long way.

3
Seductra silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming got back early 6th of 10 in a Cl1 at Kembla Grange on October 10 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Smoke 'N' Darts with 122lbs at $14. Second-up struggled in the run home, 5th of 8 in a Cl1 at Beaumont (Newcastle) on October 26 over 5 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Kermitisapet carrying 132lbs at $2.30. Looks ready to win.

2nd Pick
3

Seductra

Jockey: Lee Magorrian

Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman

J: Lee Magorrian

T: Richard & Will Freedman

146---8%13/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming got back early 6th of 10 in a Cl1 at Kembla Grange on October 10 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Smoke 'N' Darts with 122lbs at $14. Second-up struggled in the run home, 5th of 8 in a Cl1 at Beaumont (Newcastle) on October 26 over 5 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Kermitisapet carrying 132lbs at $2.30. Looks ready to win.

1
Queen's Rhapsody silk

Second run back. First-up after six months made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Bm64 at Kembla Grange on October 24 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Priory Park with 129lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up settled back and ran on when 6th of 11 in a Midway Bm72 at Gosford on May 9 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Smashing Time with 119lbs at $4.40. Sure to run well.

3rd Pick
1

Queen's Rhapsody

Jockey: Louise Day

Trainer: David Pfieffer

J: Louise Day

T: David Pfieffer

125---34%2/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after six months made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Bm64 at Kembla Grange on October 24 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Priory Park with 129lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up settled back and ran on when 6th of 11 in a Midway Bm72 at Gosford on May 9 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Smashing Time with 119lbs at $4.40. Sure to run well.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.