AU - Illawarra Grange - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

5.7f

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

29.3K

VIEW

Verdict

CAPTURE ME (1) progressive gelding ready to win. Bounced off his good first-up third in town with a tough on-pace second over 5 ½f at Warwick Farm. Set to peak from the low draw in this weaker race. NAFANUA (7) nice filly resuming. Expected to go on with it this prep after going out a winner when saluting in good style over 6f at Cowra on March 9. Has shown enough in her two trials to suggest a forward showing is expected. DUBAI ADVENTURE (2) Street Boss gelding having his first run for the Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter barn. Won well on debut, then finished a battling fifth over 6f at Mornington last December. Ran sixth in a recent trial at Illawarra Grange over 4f. Can pull out a big run fresh from the low gate. AUGUST RUSH (6) returns from a let-up. First-up after five months he led throughout for a slick Maiden win over 5 ½f at Port Macquarie. Don't dismiss in this stronger contest.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Warwick Farm 3&4yo Bm64 on June 3 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Mrs Maree carrying 131lbs at $4.80. Second-up set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at Warwick Farm Bm72 on July 15 over 5 ½f, 2.75 len behind Jarrito carrying 122lbs at $2.45. Fitter now and making headway. Big chance to find winning form. 1st Pick 1 Capture Me Jockey: Chad Schofield Trainer: Joseph Pride J: Chad Schofield T: Joseph Pride	215	-	-	-	84%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Warwick Farm 3&4yo Bm64 on June 3 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Mrs Maree carrying 131lbs at $4.80. Second-up set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at Warwick Farm Bm72 on July 15 over 5 ½f, 2.75 len behind Jarrito carrying 122lbs at $2.45. Fitter now and making headway. Big chance to find winning form.
7	Filly back from a spell of five months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign won by 2.75 len Cowra Mdn-Sw March 9 over 6f slow track defeating Erion carrying 125lbs at $1.45. When resuming last campaign fifth of 7 at Wyong F&M Mdn February 10 over 5 ½f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Lipstick carrying 130lbs at $3.80. Resumes with the two solid trials, top-three contender. 2nd Pick 7 Nafanua Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Kerrin Mcevoy T: Bjorn Baker	100	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Filly back from a spell of five months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign won by 2.75 len Cowra Mdn-Sw March 9 over 6f slow track defeating Erion carrying 125lbs at $1.45. When resuming last campaign fifth of 7 at Wyong F&M Mdn February 10 over 5 ½f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Lipstick carrying 130lbs at $3.80. Resumes with the two solid trials, top-three contender.
3	Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation fourth of 7 at Wyong Cl1 February 26 over 6 ¾f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Alfred with 128lbs at $2.80. On debut won by 0.5 len Gosford Prov Mdn-Sw February 5 over 6f defeating Wan Lost with 129lbs at $1.85. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign. 3rd Pick 3 Ausbred Hed'n'tail Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Brad Widdup J: Non Runner T: Brad Widdup	125	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation fourth of 7 at Wyong Cl1 February 26 over 6 ¾f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Alfred with 128lbs at $2.80. On debut won by 0.5 len Gosford Prov Mdn-Sw February 5 over 6f defeating Wan Lost with 129lbs at $1.85. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.