AU - Illawarra Grange - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

30.8K

VIEW

Verdict

TEQUISODA (3) would definitely be at his best over longer however he is a winner over this course and distance first up before. Will get a similar run to that occasion as well. Does seem well placed after the claim to get the softest run and be right in it. CAP D'AIL (2) has been around the mark in all his form this campaign. He hasn't drawn the best which hurts but can still take up a forward position. ALL MACHIAVELLIAN (6) comes off a short break and a long time between wins. His best would be fighting this out. BANG ON TIME (8) has to be ready now after three efforts. The market seems to keep finding her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign second of 8 at Newcastle Mid Bm64 June 27 over 1m, soft track, a neck behind Allegro Miss carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Previous preparation first-up won by nose this track Mid Bm64 May 5 over 7f defeating Lawless Lucy carrying 130lbs at $3.70. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign. 1st Pick 3 Tequisoda Jockey: Leeshelle Small Trainer: Brad Widdup J: Leeshelle Small T: Brad Widdup	105	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign second of 8 at Newcastle Mid Bm64 June 27 over 1m, soft track, a neck behind Allegro Miss carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Previous preparation first-up won by nose this track Mid Bm64 May 5 over 7f defeating Lawless Lucy carrying 130lbs at $3.70. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.
2	At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 in a Prov Bm64 at Kembla Grange on November 3 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Northern Eyes with 134lbs at $4. Before that 5th of 8 in a Cond Bm68 at Kembla Grange on October 24 over 1m, 5 len behind La Morra carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Well placed to take this out. 2nd Pick 2 Cap D'ail Jockey: Jon Grisedale Trainer: Diane Poidevin-Laine J: Jon Grisedale T: Diane Poidevin-Laine	118	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 in a Prov Bm64 at Kembla Grange on November 3 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Northern Eyes with 134lbs at $4. Before that 5th of 8 in a Cond Bm68 at Kembla Grange on October 24 over 1m, 5 len behind La Morra carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Well placed to take this out.
6	Resumes after a break of three-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation second last of 9 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Bm64 August 8 over 7f, 11 len behind Everido with 125lbs at $3.90. Previously first up, fourth of 8 at Kembla Grange Bm64 April 18 over 6f, soft track, 7 len behind Presides carrying 126lbs at $19. Looks all set for an effective return. 3rd Pick 6 All Machiavellian Jockey: Chad Lever Trainer: Robert & Luke Price J: Chad Lever T: Robert & Luke Price	70	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Resumes after a break of three-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation second last of 9 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Bm64 August 8 over 7f, 11 len behind Everido with 125lbs at $3.90. Previously first up, fourth of 8 at Kembla Grange Bm64 April 18 over 6f, soft track, 7 len behind Presides carrying 126lbs at $19. Looks all set for an effective return.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.