AU - Illawarra Grange - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

7.2f

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

29.3K

VIEW

Verdict

AGRAFFE ROCKET (1) jumped in trip and grade when held up early in the straight for a battling fourth over 7 ¾f at Canterbury in BM64 class on a heavy (8) track. Will find this more to his liking and no surprise to see him race a touch closer here. Can improve quickly. OURAGAN (6) has shown ability in all three runs back and a win looks imminent. The stable are having a good run at present and doesn't have to improve much to win this. ZOUGOTME (5) rewarded for his consistency second-up with a well-deserved Maiden win from back in the field over 6f at Moruya. Jean Van Overmeire stays aboard and has solid each-way prospects. ONE RUN WON (3) tongue-tie goes on after he gripped on late to secure third over 6 ¼f at Newcastle. Can push forward from the draw and not without top-four claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Recent form sound. Most recently 4th of 9 at Canterbury Bm64 on July 8 over 7 ¾f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Let's Fly with 132lbs at $3.70. The start before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.6 len at Newcastle Mdn-Sw June 27 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Artgirl carrying 130lbs at $2. Can bounce back quickly on the firmer surface. 1st Pick 1 Agraffe Rocket Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus Trainer: Kris Lees J: Adam Hyeronimus T: Kris Lees	191	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 4th of 9 at Canterbury Bm64 on July 8 over 7 ¾f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Let's Fly with 132lbs at $3.70. The start before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.6 len at Newcastle Mdn-Sw June 27 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Artgirl carrying 130lbs at $2. Can bounce back quickly on the firmer surface.
8	Third-up today. First-up ran last of 9 at Hawkesbury Cl1 on July 2 over 5f, on a slow track, 10 len behind At Her Mercy with 123lbs at $81. Second run from a spell 7th of 10 at Kembla Grange Mid Cl1 on July 25 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind Rockthevelio with 122lbs at $101. Need to see another run. 2nd Pick 8 Decota Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ross Mcconville J: Non Runner T: Ross Mcconville	105	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today. First-up ran last of 9 at Hawkesbury Cl1 on July 2 over 5f, on a slow track, 10 len behind At Her Mercy with 123lbs at $81. Second run from a spell 7th of 10 at Kembla Grange Mid Cl1 on July 25 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind Rockthevelio with 122lbs at $101. Need to see another run.
6	At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Kembla Grange Mid Cl1 on July 25 over 6 ½f, neck behind Rockthevelio carrying 122lbs at $18. The start before that 5th of 9 at Newcastle Mid Cl1 on July 14 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Nuns Chorus carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Tough to beat fourth-up. 3rd Pick 6 Ouragan Jockey: Andrew Calder Trainer: Paul & Martha Cave J: Andrew Calder T: Paul & Martha Cave	81	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Kembla Grange Mid Cl1 on July 25 over 6 ½f, neck behind Rockthevelio carrying 122lbs at $18. The start before that 5th of 9 at Newcastle Mid Cl1 on July 14 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Nuns Chorus carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Tough to beat fourth-up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.