AU - Illawarra Grange - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

7.2f

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

28.8K

VIEW

Verdict

STRIKE A POSE (3) does have to be a big chance after winning on resumption. He sat just back of the speed and ran away late. Can only see him benefiting from that outing. Has some important gear changes as well. EYNESBURY (2) finds a trip much short of his preferred but has run OK first up before and has been well supported in the early betting. CHAPPY (1) was much better second up and should be right at his peak third up, while DAWN OR DUSK (6) also has to be included, having won well before a break.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Third-up today. First-up sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 in a Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 8 over 6 ½f, 0.8 len behind Devil Wings carrying 125lbs at $9. Last start favourite, won by 1.2 len in a Mdn at Beaumont (Newcastle) on October 26 over 6 ¾f on a soft track defeating Shanti carrying 125lbs at $3.20. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish. 1st Pick 10 Stunning Future Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou J: Non Runner T: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou	132	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today. First-up sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 in a Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 8 over 6 ½f, 0.8 len behind Devil Wings carrying 125lbs at $9. Last start favourite, won by 1.2 len in a Mdn at Beaumont (Newcastle) on October 26 over 6 ¾f on a soft track defeating Shanti carrying 125lbs at $3.20. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.
3	Second run back. First-up after six months came from midfield and won by 0.9 len in a 4yo+ Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 27 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Dwight carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 4th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Canberra on April 3 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Call Me Mojo with 129lbs at $4. Has plenty of improvement in store so stick with him. 2nd Pick 3 Strike A Pose Jockey: Louise Day Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Louise Day T: Ciaron Maher	115	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months came from midfield and won by 0.9 len in a 4yo+ Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 27 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Dwight carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 4th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Canberra on April 3 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Call Me Mojo with 129lbs at $4. Has plenty of improvement in store so stick with him.
7	Dual acceptor. Returns from a 30-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 10 in a Prov Cl1 at Hawkesbury on October 15 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Sonnig carrying 130lbs at $3.40. Before that 3rd of 7 in a Mid Bm64 at this track on October 1 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Maidoff with 126lbs at $3.70. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 7 Bang On Time Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Kerry Parker J: Non Runner T: Kerry Parker	132	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Returns from a 30-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 10 in a Prov Cl1 at Hawkesbury on October 15 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Sonnig carrying 130lbs at $3.40. Before that 3rd of 7 in a Mid Bm64 at this track on October 1 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Maidoff with 126lbs at $3.70. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.