AU - Illawarra Grange - Race 3

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

5.7f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

30.8K

VIEW

Verdict

ALBATROSS (3) had to come from last at his first outing and closed off well. This race won't be much different in terms of standard but the added ¾f just gives him more time to balance up, find his feet and hit the line. ALPHA SORT (4) rode the speed at his debut and was not that far away. Will be better for the run at a more familiar track. DUBIOUS EXPRESS (5) has raced better horses before a break and then just held his ground recently. At least gets a very soft run in transit. CHUMPAKIDD (1) has been up and down so far. Into the placings again looks the best option.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At debut, ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Kembla Grange on November 3 over 5f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Zourrific with 127lbs at $7.50. Will take a lot from that hitout and is a key runner. 1st Pick 3 Albatross Jockey: Lee Magorrian Trainer: Kerry Parker J: Lee Magorrian T: Kerry Parker	78	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At debut, ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Kembla Grange on November 3 over 5f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Zourrific with 127lbs at $7.50. Will take a lot from that hitout and is a key runner.
4	At debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 in a Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 27 over 5 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Time To Dance carrying 125lbs at $9.50. Promising type who is a top chance. 2nd Pick 4 Alpha Sort Jockey: Chad Lever Trainer: Robert & Luke Price J: Chad Lever T: Robert & Luke Price	78	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis At debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 in a Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 27 over 5 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Time To Dance carrying 125lbs at $9.50. Promising type who is a top chance.
5	Second run back. First-up after four months 7th of 10 in a Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 27 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Time To Dance with 127lbs at $21. Previously second-up ran last of 7 in a 2yo C&G Osc at Warwick Farm on June 24 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Omolong carrying 127lbs at $26. Plenty of improvement to come. 3rd Pick 5 Dubious Express Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman J: Keagan Latham T: Richard & Will Freedman	184	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 7th of 10 in a Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 27 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Time To Dance with 127lbs at $21. Previously second-up ran last of 7 in a 2yo C&G Osc at Warwick Farm on June 24 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Omolong carrying 127lbs at $26. Plenty of improvement to come.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.