AU - Illawarra Grange - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

29.9K

VIEW

Verdict

PEACE BIRD (3) has not raced since showing good pace to shadow the leader before fighting hard only to go under by a long neck over 6f at Gosford five weeks ago. Progressive filly who maps nicely just behind the speed again and will be tough to hold out. ROSE OF FENWAY (4) returns from a 170-day spell. Beaten narrowly at her last two appearances before being turned out, both over slightly shorter trips than this. Two strong recent trials will have her forward enough to run a big race. Speedy filly ZEPHYR SONG (7) has led for home at both runs this prep in Victoria, tiring to miss the placings last time over this distance at Bendigo. Very fit and will be hard to reel in if able to dictate. MYSTICAL (8) found 4 ½f at Newcastle too sharp when fresh from a short spell five weeks ago. Placed at stakes level second-up last prep so she demands respect. The winner should come from this quartet, with FLYING GISELLE (2) the best of the rest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Third-up today. Resuming eased back early on 4th in a small field at Rosehill 3yo+ MDN-Sw on April 6 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Compensation with 125lbs at $21. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Gosford 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 25 over 6f, long-neck behind Go Glenn with 119lbs at $3.20. Can improve. Coming along nicely and looks ready to win. 1st Pick 3 Peace Bird Jockey: Mitchell Bell Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Mitchell Bell T: Ciaron Maher	175	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming eased back early on 4th in a small field at Rosehill 3yo+ MDN-Sw on April 6 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Compensation with 125lbs at $21. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Gosford 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 25 over 6f, long-neck behind Go Glenn with 119lbs at $3.20. Can improve. Coming along nicely and looks ready to win.
4	Resuming. Finished off last preparation third of 10 at Kembla Grange Mid Mdn December 11 over 6f, a neck behind Li'l Grug carrying 123lbs at $3.20. On debut second last of 9 at Goulburn Mdn-Sw October 7 over 5 ½f, 8 len behind My Bella Vista carrying 121lbs at $21. Anticipating her to hit the ground running this campaign. 2nd Pick 4 Rose Of Fenway Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Jean Van Overmeire T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	121	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation third of 10 at Kembla Grange Mid Mdn December 11 over 6f, a neck behind Li'l Grug carrying 123lbs at $3.20. On debut second last of 9 at Goulburn Mdn-Sw October 7 over 5 ½f, 8 len behind My Bella Vista carrying 121lbs at $21. Anticipating her to hit the ground running this campaign.
7	Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 7 at Kyneton 3yo F Mdn-Sw on April 23 over 6f, 5 len behind Chasing Rainbows with 126lbs at $3.20. Second-up faded in the straight 5th of 8 at Bendigo 3yo F Mdn-Sw on May 13 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind Cherry Hills carrying 126lbs at $2.80. On-pacer who will take catching this time. 3rd Pick 7 Zephyr Song Jockey: Zac Wadick Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Zac Wadick T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	155	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 7 at Kyneton 3yo F Mdn-Sw on April 23 over 6f, 5 len behind Chasing Rainbows with 126lbs at $3.20. Second-up faded in the straight 5th of 8 at Bendigo 3yo F Mdn-Sw on May 13 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind Cherry Hills carrying 126lbs at $2.80. On-pacer who will take catching this time.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.