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7:28 PM

IE - Leopardstown - Race 7

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
15f
Handicap
Turf
Good (Good to Firm in places)
17.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

A tricky finale to solve but PARTY DRESS caught the eye under inexperienced handling when fourth at Killarney last week and, now reunited with a fully-fledged rider, Willie McCreery's mare gets the nod to cash in on a reduced mark. Tatum has a fine record at this venue so could be the one to give the selection most to think about, with Jurality and Friary Road taken to fight out minor honours.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Party Dress (Ire) silk

Offered very little sent chasing back in the spring but recent Flat starts suggest she could be ready to strike, likely to have benefited from stronger handling when fourth of 11 at Killarney (14.4f, good) last week. High on the shortlist reunited with a fully-fledged rider.

1st Pick
3

Party Dress (Ire)

Jockey: D. W. O'connor

Trainer: W. Mccreery, Ireland

J: D. W. O'connor

T: W. Mccreery, Ireland

100---20%4/1

Analysis

Offered very little sent chasing back in the spring but recent Flat starts suggest she could be ready to strike, likely to have benefited from stronger handling when fourth of 11 at Killarney (14.4f, good) last week. High on the shortlist reunited with a fully-fledged rider.

4
Tatum (Ire) silk

Scored here 12 months ago (beating a couple of next-time-out winners) and back to that sort of level when third of 6 in that corresponding race last week, settling better than she had at Limerick. Blinkers left off here but fancied to go close again back up in trip.

2nd Pick
4

Tatum (Ire)

Jockey: P. A. Harnett

Trainer: Noel Meade, Ireland

J: P. A. Harnett

T: Noel Meade, Ireland

99---15%6/1

Analysis

Scored here 12 months ago (beating a couple of next-time-out winners) and back to that sort of level when third of 6 in that corresponding race last week, settling better than she had at Limerick. Blinkers left off here but fancied to go close again back up in trip.

6
Jurality silk

Gained reward for consistency when finally getting off the mark at Navan in June. Went within a nose of following up at Bellewstown next time and shaped as if still in good form when fifth of 11 at Killarney (14.4f, good) last week. Every chance he'll feature again.

3rd Pick
6

Jurality

Jockey: L. F. Roche

Trainer: Paul W. Flynn, Ireland

J: L. F. Roche

T: Paul W. Flynn, Ireland

95---25%3/1

Analysis

Gained reward for consistency when finally getting off the mark at Navan in June. Went within a nose of following up at Bellewstown next time and shaped as if still in good form when fifth of 11 at Killarney (14.4f, good) last week. Every chance he'll feature again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.