AU - Caulfield Heath - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

8.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

35.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Keen to side with KILLENAULE (8) who looks primed for this fourth up from a spell. Three runs this time in have all been very good, chasing hard at Sandown Hillside last time out in a handy race despite covering extra ground. Gets the 4lbs claim for Jabez Johnstone and this looks very winnable. TALKIN' STERN (5) is hard to knock having won two in a row, dominant at Seymour over a mile last start. Heavy to dry and up a notch in grade but has upside and can go on with the job. BEST TIME (3) comes through the same race as Killenaule, only beaten 2.5 lengths into fourth there. He should get a nice run and be fighting out the finish. YAMATO SATONA (4) hasn't fired in two runs this time in but is better than that and could improve. BLOW ON THE DICE (7) has won two in a row in easier but can run well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 13 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 1m, slow going 0.8 len behind Emperor Tzu with 128lbs at $6.50. The race before that 3rd of 13 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Lakeside on August 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Gold Chariot carrying 128lbs at $8. Looks set to break through. 1st Pick 8 Killenaule Jockey: Jabez Johnstone Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Jabez Johnstone T: Ciaron Maher	185	-	-	-	53%	10/11
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 13 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 1m, slow going 0.8 len behind Emperor Tzu with 128lbs at $6.50. The race before that 3rd of 13 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Lakeside on August 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Gold Chariot carrying 128lbs at $8. Looks set to break through.
5	Chasing a hat-trick. Last start scored a big 3.5 len win in a Bm62 at Seymour on August 27 over 1m in heavy going defeating Somethingsostrong with 131lbs at $8.50. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a nose in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on August 14 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Marron with 131lbs at $6. Sure to measure up again. 2nd Pick 5 Talkin' Stern Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Gavin Bedggood J: John Allen T: Gavin Bedggood	196	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Last start scored a big 3.5 len win in a Bm62 at Seymour on August 27 over 1m in heavy going defeating Somethingsostrong with 131lbs at $8.50. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a nose in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on August 14 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Marron with 131lbs at $6. Sure to measure up again.
3	Most recently ran on from midfield, 4th of 13 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Emperor Tzu with 133lbs at $17. The race before that got back early 8th of 14 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Lakeside on August 19 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Celestial Zara with 127lbs at $51. Key chance expected to feature. 3rd Pick 3 Best Time Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Smiley Chan J: Jamie Mott T: Smiley Chan	131	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Most recently ran on from midfield, 4th of 13 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Emperor Tzu with 133lbs at $17. The race before that got back early 8th of 14 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Lakeside on August 19 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Celestial Zara with 127lbs at $51. Key chance expected to feature.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.