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3:10 AM

AU - Caulfield Heath - Race 1

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
39.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Siding with SCAROLE (7) who has race fitness on his side. He's just found one better at his past couple but a win looks close, trying hard behind a handy one in Boys Bounce last time out. Will roll forward here and take plenty of catching. SAINT FOX (6) was sent out $1.70 last time at Bendigo but perhaps didn't handle the heavy ground. He showed ability on debut and can bounce back. ZOUCITY (8) has been about the mark in both runs to date, well backed in the Boys Bounce race last time when fourth. Improving type who should strip fitter again, go close. MEHSUN (3) resumes with claims in his second local campaign and can figure. MELBOURNE BOY (5) was okay fresh but showed ability last time in and can improve sharply.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Scarole silk

Racing well recently. Most recently sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 7 ½f, slow going 1.5 len behind Boys Bounce with 128lbs at $8. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat Synthetic on August 18 over 7f, neck behind Stuntman with 126lbs at $6. Well placed. Can break through.

1st Pick
7

Scarole

Jockey: Thomas Stockdale

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Thomas Stockdale

T: Ciaron Maher

220---20%4/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 7 ½f, slow going 1.5 len behind Boys Bounce with 128lbs at $8. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat Synthetic on August 18 over 7f, neck behind Stuntman with 126lbs at $6. Well placed. Can break through.

6
Saint Fox silk

Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, 3rd of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on July 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Royal Duck with 126lbs at $3.60. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on August 26 over 7f, in the wet, 3 len behind Farside carrying 126lbs at $1.70. Sets up well, go close.

2nd Pick
6

Saint Fox

Jockey: Jordan Childs

Trainer: Grahame Begg

J: Jordan Childs

T: Grahame Begg

135---31%9/4

Analysis

Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, 3rd of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on July 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Royal Duck with 126lbs at $3.60. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on August 26 over 7f, in the wet, 3 len behind Farside carrying 126lbs at $1.70. Sets up well, go close.

8
Zoucity silk

Third race start today. At long odds at debut, 3rd of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Geelong on August 14 over 6f, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Greenwich Boy carrying 128lbs at $31. Last start 4th of 8 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 7 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Boys Bounce with 128lbs at $3.20. Has plenty of upside and can take this out.

3rd Pick
8

Zoucity

Jockey: Jye Mcneil

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Jye Mcneil

T: Chris Waller

106---42%7/5

Analysis

Third race start today. At long odds at debut, 3rd of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Geelong on August 14 over 6f, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Greenwich Boy carrying 128lbs at $31. Last start 4th of 8 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 7 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Boys Bounce with 128lbs at $3.20. Has plenty of upside and can take this out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.