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6:42 AM

AU - Birdsville - Race 6

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5f
Quality Handicap
Dirt
GOOD
32.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Top race. HELLO WORLD (5) tackled a dirt track for the first time last start and got the job done for new trainer Kym Healy, scoring by 1.5 lengths over 5f at Betoota. Harder here but huge weight drop and can measure up again. REVOLT (2) won three on end last campaign before finishing off at the winter carnival in Brisbane and was safely held in far richer company. Won only try course and distance and will take catching fresh. LUCKY FORTUNA (8) was fourth behind Hello World last time and also drops significantly in the weights. Can measure up here. COCHRANE (4) was far too good last time and can go close again. PESHWA (1) is racing well and can win again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Hello World silk

Recent form sound. Last start won by 1.5 len at Betoota on August 29 over 5f defeating Yukan Rose carrying 142lbs at $2.30. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Bm72 at Morphettville Parks on August 15 over 6 ¼f, on a wet track, head behind The Cosmic One with 129lbs at $19. In form and expected to go close again.

1st Pick
5

Hello World

Jockey: John Keating

Trainer: Kym Healy

J: John Keating

T: Kym Healy

186---34%2/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start won by 1.5 len at Betoota on August 29 over 5f defeating Yukan Rose carrying 142lbs at $2.30. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Bm72 at Morphettville Parks on August 15 over 6 ¼f, on a wet track, head behind The Cosmic One with 129lbs at $19. In form and expected to go close again.

2
Revolt silk

Back from a spell. Finished off last preparation 11th of 16 at Eagle Farm Botb Final June 27 over 6f, soft track, 9 len behind Roll Up with 131lbs at $5.50. When resuming last campaign eighth of 16 at Gold Coast Mm Cnty Cup Qh January 17 over 6f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Sir Carter with 126lbs at $8. Won only try course and distance and expected to take catching.

2nd Pick
2

Revolt

Jockey: Kody Nestor

Trainer: Jay Morris

J: Kody Nestor

T: Jay Morris

133---37%7/4

Analysis

Back from a spell. Finished off last preparation 11th of 16 at Eagle Farm Botb Final June 27 over 6f, soft track, 9 len behind Roll Up with 131lbs at $5.50. When resuming last campaign eighth of 16 at Gold Coast Mm Cnty Cup Qh January 17 over 6f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Sir Carter with 126lbs at $8. Won only try course and distance and expected to take catching.

8
Lucky Fortuna silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th in a small field in a Bm70 at Betoota on August 29 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Hello World with 129lbs at $2.20. The race before that favourite, settled well back, scored a big 4 len win at Alice Springs on August 8 over 6f defeating Real Valentia with 121lbs at $4. Down in weight and expected to measure up.

3rd Pick
8

Lucky Fortuna

Jockey: Jade Doyle

Trainer: Kym Healy

J: Jade Doyle

T: Kym Healy

98---10%10/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th in a small field in a Bm70 at Betoota on August 29 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Hello World with 129lbs at $2.20. The race before that favourite, settled well back, scored a big 4 len win at Alice Springs on August 8 over 6f defeating Real Valentia with 121lbs at $4. Down in weight and expected to measure up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.