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6:04 AM

AU - Birdsville - Race 5

Thoroughbred
6 Runners
6f
Class 5
Dirt
GOOD
14.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GREAT COSMIC (1) is a former NSW galloper who has started four times for the new yard and been far too good all four. Has a big weight but racing in great confidence and looks hard to beat again. DEFERENTIAL (2) looks the biggest danger. Was a strong winner fresh off a long break and will only strip fitter. Looks very hard to stop again. FRAWLEY (5) was in the placings when a length back from the winner last start at Mt Isa and is down in weight this time. Sure to go close if runs up to the mark. IOANE (3) was never in contention when resuming last start over 7f at Morphettville Parks, finishing ninth and beaten 6 lengths. Showed good speed there and swamped late. First run for the new yard and can give a sight this level. STECARA (4) is capable of more than she showed last time.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Great Cosmic silk

On a four run winning streak. Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.4 len at Mt Isa on August 6 over 5f defeating Viking Valour carrying 127lbs at $2. The start before that favourite, scored a big 9 len win at Julia Creek on June 20 over 6f defeating Pocket Picker carrying 129lbs at $1.40. Hard to fault and will go close again.

1st Pick
1

Great Cosmic

Jockey: Kody Nestor

Trainer: Jay Morris

J: Kody Nestor

T: Jay Morris

198---53%10/11

Analysis

On a four run winning streak. Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.4 len at Mt Isa on August 6 over 5f defeating Viking Valour carrying 127lbs at $2. The start before that favourite, scored a big 9 len win at Julia Creek on June 20 over 6f defeating Pocket Picker carrying 129lbs at $1.40. Hard to fault and will go close again.

2
Deferential silk

Second-up. First-up after five months favourite, won by 2.25 len at Corfield on August 1 over 5f defeating I Am A Marvel carrying 133lbs at $3. Previously second-up 6th of 10 in a Bm58 at Ipswich on August 14 2025 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Bold Julius carrying 134lbs at $11. Too good fresh and looks very hard to stop again.

2nd Pick
2

Deferential

Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes

Trainer: Toni Schofield

J: Jake Pracey-Holmes

T: Toni Schofield

144---25%3/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after five months favourite, won by 2.25 len at Corfield on August 1 over 5f defeating I Am A Marvel carrying 133lbs at $3. Previously second-up 6th of 10 in a Bm58 at Ipswich on August 14 2025 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Bold Julius carrying 134lbs at $11. Too good fresh and looks very hard to stop again.

5
Frawley silk

Last start 2nd in a small field in a Cl3-Sw at Mt Isa on August 22 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Polly Hoffa carrying 137lbs at $4. The race before that ran last of 9 in a Bm54 at Katherine on August 15 over 6 ½f, 29 len behind Anecdotal carrying 131lbs at $3.20. Ready to win after a solid performance last time out.

3rd Pick
5

Frawley

Jockey: Robert Faehr

Trainer: Philip Cole

J: Robert Faehr

T: Philip Cole

162---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start 2nd in a small field in a Cl3-Sw at Mt Isa on August 22 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Polly Hoffa carrying 137lbs at $4. The race before that ran last of 9 in a Bm54 at Katherine on August 15 over 6 ½f, 29 len behind Anecdotal carrying 131lbs at $3.20. Ready to win after a solid performance last time out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.