AU - Birdsville - Race 1

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

Maiden

Dirt

GOOD

15.7K

VIEW

Verdict

SECRET SUSPICION (6) is a three start maiden having first run this area for the new yard. Safely held at Eagle Farm last start after getting a long way back but the start prior placed here when racing on speed. Much easier here and expected to go close first run for new yard. Stablemate FILLYDELPHIA MISS (5) has had plenty of tries but comes here fresh and will find this easier. Has four minors this sharper trip and gets chance to fire. CRUDO (1) is a former NSW galloper having first run for this yard and looks well placed. Has placed 2/7 and expected to measure up. OUTAGES (4) is another having first try this area. Placed 3/6 so far and best form stacks up. KAL IT MAGIC (3) is next best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	At the latest run ran last of 10 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Eagle Farm on August 12 over 6f, 10 len behind Pearls In June carrying 121lbs at $101. The race before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 7 in a 4yo+ Mdn at Eagle Farm on July 29 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Super Luck Dragon with 127lbs at $16. Much easier here and expected to go close first run for new yard. 1st Pick 6 Secret Suspicion Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Jake Pracey-Holmes T: Lachie Manzelmann	190	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 10 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Eagle Farm on August 12 over 6f, 10 len behind Pearls In June carrying 121lbs at $101. The race before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 7 in a 4yo+ Mdn at Eagle Farm on July 29 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Super Luck Dragon with 127lbs at $16. Much easier here and expected to go close first run for new yard.
5	Returns from a 41-day let-up. Most recently ran second last of 8 in a Belle F&M Bm70 at Mackay on July 25 over 7 ¾f, 11 len behind Black Eyed Blonde with 119lbs at $151. Before that ran second last in a small field in a 3yo Mdn at Mackay on July 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Belvedere Miss carrying 119lbs at $41. Not a great draw again but represents a major threat. 2nd Pick 5 Fillydelphia Miss Jockey: Julie Busuttin Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Julie Busuttin T: Lachie Manzelmann	122	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Returns from a 41-day let-up. Most recently ran second last of 8 in a Belle F&M Bm70 at Mackay on July 25 over 7 ¾f, 11 len behind Black Eyed Blonde with 119lbs at $151. Before that ran second last in a small field in a 3yo Mdn at Mackay on July 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Belvedere Miss carrying 119lbs at $41. Not a great draw again but represents a major threat.
1	Resuming after a spell of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation second last of 12 at Nowra Mdn-Sw May 24 over 1m, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Will The Thinker with 130lbs at $26. When resuming last campaign fifth of 7 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Mdn-Sw March 21 over 7f, soft track, 7 len behind Coulter with 129lbs at $19. Makes plenty of appeal in the new surrounds. 3rd Pick 1 Crudo Jockey: Samantha Pointon Trainer: Toni Schofield J: Samantha Pointon T: Toni Schofield	132	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Resuming after a spell of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation second last of 12 at Nowra Mdn-Sw May 24 over 1m, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Will The Thinker with 130lbs at $26. When resuming last campaign fifth of 7 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Mdn-Sw March 21 over 7f, soft track, 7 len behind Coulter with 129lbs at $19. Makes plenty of appeal in the new surrounds.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.