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7:50 AM

AU - York - Race 5

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5.5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
11.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WILUNA LASS (2) is the horse to beat after holding her form through CL3 company, finishing second to Star Martini at Northam before a fifth to Tribal Ruler at Ascot when beaten three and a half lengths after only being run down late. The quick back-up is assessed as a positive and her 5 ½f record is sound. MERCHANT TRADER (7) is the main danger, having won at this track two starts ago before charging home for second to Market Snitz at Northam, with Troy Turner retaining a good association. SCREAM (1) has to rebound from a last placing in 1MW grade at Ascot, but that run had interference and his two-from-two record at this track is a serious asset. MANTUA (9) was close behind Merchant Trader at this venue two runs ago, then only fair behind Star Martini at Northam. Tongue tie comes off and he won't be far away. INCANDESCENT LADY (6) is next best.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Wiluna Lass silk

Brings the strongest recent profile after a fifth in Class 3 grade at Ascot, beaten three and a half lengths by Tribal Ruler after leading and being run down late. She had been pipped by Star Martini at Northam the start prior and is now rated to enjoy the quick back-up. Strong 5 ½f record and 9lbs claim make her the one to beat.

1st Pick
2

Wiluna Lass

Jockey: Kayla Martin

Trainer: Josh Brown

J: Kayla Martin

T: Josh Brown

167---35%15/8

Analysis

Brings the strongest recent profile after a fifth in Class 3 grade at Ascot, beaten three and a half lengths by Tribal Ruler after leading and being run down late. She had been pipped by Star Martini at Northam the start prior and is now rated to enjoy the quick back-up. Strong 5 ½f record and 9lbs claim make her the one to beat.

7
Merchant Trader silk

Continued his rise when second in Class 1 grade at Northam, beaten a length and a half by Market Snitz after charging home from well back. That followed a determined BM44+ win at this track over Classic Royale, despite being held up near the 1f. Turner knows him well and he has a strong winning profile.

2nd Pick
7

Merchant Trader

Jockey: Troy Turner

Trainer: Jeremy Easthope

J: Troy Turner

T: Jeremy Easthope

99---20%4/1

Analysis

Continued his rise when second in Class 1 grade at Northam, beaten a length and a half by Market Snitz after charging home from well back. That followed a determined BM44+ win at this track over Classic Royale, despite being held up near the 1f. Turner knows him well and he has a strong winning profile.

1
Scream silk

Had excuses when last in 1 Metro Win company at Ascot a week ago, being restrained soon after the start and tightened near the 1 ¼f before finishing beaten five lengths. That is easier company now, and his prior Bunbury win in NMW1Y grade over Galway Shawl showed he still has a sharp turn of foot. Two from two at this track and Webster's 7lbs claim keep him in the mix.

3rd Pick
1

Scream

Jockey: Sharni Webster

Trainer: Glenn Webster

J: Sharni Webster

T: Glenn Webster

185---25%3/1

Analysis

Had excuses when last in 1 Metro Win company at Ascot a week ago, being restrained soon after the start and tightened near the 1 ¼f before finishing beaten five lengths. That is easier company now, and his prior Bunbury win in NMW1Y grade over Galway Shawl showed he still has a sharp turn of foot. Two from two at this track and Webster's 7lbs claim keep him in the mix.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.