AU - York - Race 4

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

9.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

11.8K

VIEW

Verdict

AWESOME FORCE (4) gets the nod on the strength of two solid Ascot runs in stronger company. He was fifth in a 1MW last start after beginning slowly and being restrained, and his prior BM66+ sixth, beaten two and a half lengths reads well for a BM44+. SIDE SHOW (2) is the main danger after a Collie BM56+ third where he was steadied near the 3f, and his Northam CL3 win over Vancouver Storm shows he is holding form, he just has to stretch to 1 ³/16m now. RARE ROCK (8) drops out of a Saturday 1MW and had excuses when fourth in a Mdn at this track two back, so he has some claims if he finishes off better. SAUCISSON (6) has the track-and-trip profile, with one win and one placing from two starts at this distance. He can bounce back returning to a more suitable race. TIFF'S LAD (1) can improve on just a fair effort last time as this shapes as an easier race.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Eased from Saturday company after finishing fifth in a 1 Metro Win at Ascot, beaten just over six lengths after beginning slowly and keeping on from well back. His previous BM66+ run at Ascot was sound, beaten two and a half lengths after being restrained early, and the drop to this level is significant. Clear chance to capitalise at BM44+ level. 1st Pick 4 Awesome Force Jockey: Joey Azzopardi Trainer: Ross Price J: Joey Azzopardi T: Ross Price	185	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Eased from Saturday company after finishing fifth in a 1 Metro Win at Ascot, beaten just over six lengths after beginning slowly and keeping on from well back. His previous BM66+ run at Ascot was sound, beaten two and a half lengths after being restrained early, and the drop to this level is significant. Clear chance to capitalise at BM44+ level.
2	Went close in a BM56+ at Collie last start, finishing third and beaten just over a length after being steadied near the 3f. That followed a Class 3 win at Northam, where he beat Vancouver Storm at long odds and showed he could sustain a run. The trip is the query, but he is racing well enough to win. 2nd Pick 2 Side Show Jockey: Jason Li Trainer: Dylan Bairstow J: Jason Li T: Dylan Bairstow	108	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Went close in a BM56+ at Collie last start, finishing third and beaten just over a length after being steadied near the 3f. That followed a Class 3 win at Northam, where he beat Vancouver Storm at long odds and showed he could sustain a run. The trip is the query, but he is racing well enough to win.
8	Drops from Saturday company after finishing second last in a 1 Metro Win at Ascot, beaten seven and a half lengths after being unable to finish the race off. His previous fourth in a Mdn at this track had more merit, as he made ground on soft going and was held up late. Still winless, yet this looks a softer place chance. 3rd Pick 8 Rare Rock Jockey: Troy Turner Trainer: Tania Burns J: Troy Turner T: Tania Burns	75	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Drops from Saturday company after finishing second last in a 1 Metro Win at Ascot, beaten seven and a half lengths after being unable to finish the race off. His previous fourth in a Mdn at this track had more merit, as he made ground on soft going and was held up late. Still winless, yet this looks a softer place chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

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A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.