AU - Wellington - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

TRUMPTY DUMPTY (7) has contested three consecutive Class 2 races and has performed well without threatening. Finds a far easier assignment today and the step up in distance should work in his favour. Expecting a turnaround in form. SEVEN MILE MISSILE (2) wound up strongly to be beaten under a length over 6f at Warren when second-up after a year off the scene. Drops a level or two here. One run at this trip for win and it will be no surprise if that 100% remains intact. SANZENO (5) led but couldn't keep going over the mile at Quirindi recently. Will race on the pace and back at this trip he looks a serious contender. EAST HARLEM (8) has won three times at this trip and almost made it four last time out when edged out in a thriller at Gundagai. Always a chance in this sort of race. SHADOW DANE (3) won a Class 3 two back over the mile at Coonabarabran which is strong form for a race of this calibre.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Last start 5th of 10 at Warren Cl2 on November 9 over 6f, 5 len behind Line Of Law with 122lbs at $4.40. The race before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 at Coonabarabran Ctry Cl2-Sw on October 26 over 6f, 3 len behind Cresta Run carrying 130lbs at $15. Down a little in grade this time and looks hard to beat. 1st Pick 7 Trumpty Dumpty Jockey: Braith Nock Trainer: Dar Lunn J: Braith Nock T: Dar Lunn	129	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 5th of 10 at Warren Cl2 on November 9 over 6f, 5 len behind Line Of Law with 122lbs at $4.40. The race before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 at Coonabarabran Ctry Cl2-Sw on October 26 over 6f, 3 len behind Cresta Run carrying 130lbs at $15. Down a little in grade this time and looks hard to beat.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 9 at Coonabarabran Ctry Cl2-Sw on October 26 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Cresta Run carrying 130lbs at $18. Second-up 4th of 10 at Warren Cl2 on November 9 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Line Of Law carrying 128lbs at $7. Well placed. Ready to hit his straps at the third run back. 2nd Pick 2 Seven Mile Missile Jockey: Izzy Neale Trainer: Brett Robb J: Izzy Neale T: Brett Robb	112	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 9 at Coonabarabran Ctry Cl2-Sw on October 26 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Cresta Run carrying 130lbs at $18. Second-up 4th of 10 at Warren Cl2 on November 9 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Line Of Law carrying 128lbs at $7. Well placed. Ready to hit his straps at the third run back.
5	Last start led to the turn then faded second last of 9 at Quirindi Ctry Bm66 on November 13 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Marnoo carrying 123lbs at $6. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Coonabarabran Cl3 on October 26 over 1m, long-neck behind Shadow Dane with 123lbs at $5.50. Better than last run and rates among the chances. 3rd Pick 5 Sanzeno Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes Trainer: Mack Griffith J: Jake Pracey-Holmes T: Mack Griffith	160	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start led to the turn then faded second last of 9 at Quirindi Ctry Bm66 on November 13 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Marnoo carrying 123lbs at $6. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Coonabarabran Cl3 on October 26 over 1m, long-neck behind Shadow Dane with 123lbs at $5.50. Better than last run and rates among the chances.

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