AU - Wellington - Race 6

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

20.4K

VIEW

Verdict

NAVAL OFFICER (4) has been pretty consistent all campaign but failed to nail that victory. He does rarely run a poor one at this track and the mile is clearly the right distance for him. Handles any surface and just needs some luck early to be a factor. TALAKAI (1) drops way back in company to a BM58 after a top effort. All her form prior was right up to winning this type of event. FERRARI MAN (3) led and kept running at Orange. He always puts himself on the speed and from there runs honestly. This barrier could be a concern. PICKAXE (8) puts in for her followers most times. Might prefer some give in the surface. TAKE THE CHANCE (9) will be another heading forward early. No question of her fitness for this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Last start 5th of 11 in a Bm58 at Orange on October 19 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Ferrari Man with 130lbs at $3.40. The race before that 2nd of 7 in a Bm66 at Orange on October 8 over 1m, nose behind Yes Siree carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Not far away last time. Great chance to atone. 1st Pick 4 Naval Officer Jockey: Kody Nestor Trainer: Jim Mcmillan J: Kody Nestor T: Jim Mcmillan	131	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start 5th of 11 in a Bm58 at Orange on October 19 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Ferrari Man with 130lbs at $3.40. The race before that 2nd of 7 in a Bm66 at Orange on October 8 over 1m, nose behind Yes Siree carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Not far away last time. Great chance to atone.
1	At the latest run 5th of 10 in a Cotton Cup Bm81 at Warren on November 8 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Micro Mikki carrying 121lbs at $7. Before that won by a long-neck in a Cl3 at Coonabarabran on October 25 over 1m defeating Coella with 125lbs at $2.60. Major player on recent form. 2nd Pick 1 Talakai Jockey: Jordan Quince Trainer: Brett Robb J: Jordan Quince T: Brett Robb	128	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 10 in a Cotton Cup Bm81 at Warren on November 8 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Micro Mikki carrying 121lbs at $7. Before that won by a long-neck in a Cl3 at Coonabarabran on October 25 over 1m defeating Coella with 125lbs at $2.60. Major player on recent form.
3	Recent form sound. Last start won by 0.7 len in a Bm58 at Orange on October 19 over 1m defeating Boujee Gold carrying 125lbs at $9.50. Before that ran last in a small field in a Gren Cup at Grenfell on September 26 over 1 m, 4 len behind Talkachino carrying 123lbs at $2.20. Can go back-to-back. 3rd Pick 3 Ferrari Man Jockey: Glenn Cahill Trainer: Andrew Bourke J: Glenn Cahill T: Andrew Bourke	111	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start won by 0.7 len in a Bm58 at Orange on October 19 over 1m defeating Boujee Gold carrying 125lbs at $9.50. Before that ran last in a small field in a Gren Cup at Grenfell on September 26 over 1 m, 4 len behind Talkachino carrying 123lbs at $2.20. Can go back-to-back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.