AU - Wellington - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

8.4f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

UNREAL EXPECTATION (3) was a long way back last start but hit the line well to finish fourth, only beaten a length over 7f at Mudgee. Strips fitter third-up and will relish the rise in trip. Looks the one to beat. WEST HEAD (4) showed good early speed and raced on the pace last start before fading to finish fifth over the mile at Parkes. Peaking now on the quick back-up and keeps the claimer on to get him in well at the weights again. Bold showing anticipated. FEIMAZUO (8) doesn't win out of turn but is knocking on the door. The rise in trip suits third-up and she should be stalking them into it from a favourable draw. JASPER'S WAY (1) drove hard to score two back at Dubbo in what has proved a strong form reference. Was far from disgraced last time at Parkes, and only needs to hold his form to be competitive. CROWN LEGEND (10) has peaks that measure right up and is worth keeping safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming came from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Bathurst Saddle Cl4 on April 25 over 7f, 3 len behind Wal's Angels carrying 117lbs at $4.80. Second run from a spell got back early 4th of 8 at Mudgee Cl2 on May 10 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Mariota with 129lbs at $4.60. Rates highly. Peaking now and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 3 Unreal Expectation Jockey: Chad Lever Trainer: Tara & Philippe Vigouroux J: Chad Lever T: Tara & Philippe Vigouroux	103	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming came from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Bathurst Saddle Cl4 on April 25 over 7f, 3 len behind Wal's Angels carrying 117lbs at $4.80. Second run from a spell got back early 4th of 8 at Mudgee Cl2 on May 10 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Mariota with 129lbs at $4.60. Rates highly. Peaking now and looks the one to beat.
4	Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Parkes Cl2 on May 17 over 1m, 3 len behind Ziggy Rose with 127lbs at $3.70. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 13 at Hawkesbury Highway-C2 on May 2 over 7 ½f, 1.5 len behind Oakfield Alaska with 121lbs at $16. Ready to run a big race. 2nd Pick 4 West Head Jockey: Izzy Neale Trainer: Brett Robb J: Izzy Neale T: Brett Robb	128	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Parkes Cl2 on May 17 over 1m, 3 len behind Ziggy Rose with 127lbs at $3.70. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 13 at Hawkesbury Highway-C2 on May 2 over 7 ½f, 1.5 len behind Oakfield Alaska with 121lbs at $16. Ready to run a big race.
8	Recent form sound. Most recently 4th of 9 at Parkes Cl2 on May 17 over 1m, 2 len behind Ziggy Rose with 123lbs at $5. The start before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 13 at Hawkesbury Highway-C2 on May 2 over 7 ½f, 0.7 len behind Oakfield Alaska with 120lbs at $101. Encouraging effort last start. Expected to run well again. 3rd Pick 8 Feimazuo Jockey: Mathew Cahill Trainer: Alison Smith J: Mathew Cahill T: Alison Smith	88	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 4th of 9 at Parkes Cl2 on May 17 over 1m, 2 len behind Ziggy Rose with 123lbs at $5. The start before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 13 at Hawkesbury Highway-C2 on May 2 over 7 ½f, 0.7 len behind Oakfield Alaska with 120lbs at $101. Encouraging effort last start. Expected to run well again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.