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5:10 AM

AU - Wellington - Race 5

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
17.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ABATED BREATH (8) came with a huge finish to be beaten under a length over this distance at Armidale two back. Stepped up quickly to 7 ½f last start at Muswellbrook and he was found wanting. Back in his right race today and with luck from the wide gate he can open the account. KEVIN (1) just missed on debut two back at Dubbo then started favourite but gave away too much start here at this trip last time. Handy three-year-old who will enjoy the strong tempo anticipated here and can easily finish over the top of them. NUCLEAIRE (10) led and just failed to hold on over today's journey at Armidale two back. Less effective most recently when scaled back to 5f. Worth another chance. VICIOUS RUMOUR (7) travelled on the speed and gave a good kick to hold onto a minor placing eight days ago over this track and distance. That was her first outing in seven months so there should be improvement to come. MONTY ROAD (2) found 4 ½f too slick on debut last time. Another likely improver.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Abated Breath silk

Last start 7th of 10 at Muswellbrook Ctry Mdn on November 2 over 7 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Heapy's Legacy carrying 128lbs at $4.40. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Armidale Mdn on October 25 over 5 ½f, 0.7 len behind Tourtel carrying 121lbs at $6.50. This looks a far more suitable assignment so watch for a spike in form.

1st Pick
8

Abated Breath

Jockey: Braith Nock

Trainer: Brett & Georgie Cavanough

J: Braith Nock

T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough

169---10%10/1

Analysis

Last start 7th of 10 at Muswellbrook Ctry Mdn on November 2 over 7 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Heapy's Legacy carrying 128lbs at $4.40. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Armidale Mdn on October 25 over 5 ½f, 0.7 len behind Tourtel carrying 121lbs at $6.50. This looks a far more suitable assignment so watch for a spike in form.

1
Kevin silk

Having third race start. At debut, 2nd of 10 at Dubbo Mdn on November 1 over 5f, nose behind Stormy Swey with 130lbs at $7.50. Last start 4th of 11 at this track Super Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Chappolicious with 127lbs at $2.50. Plenty of scope for improvement and is among the top chances.

2nd Pick
1

Kevin

Jockey: Izzy Neale

Trainer: Brett Robb

J: Izzy Neale

T: Brett Robb

156---35%15/8

Analysis

Having third race start. At debut, 2nd of 10 at Dubbo Mdn on November 1 over 5f, nose behind Stormy Swey with 130lbs at $7.50. Last start 4th of 11 at this track Super Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Chappolicious with 127lbs at $2.50. Plenty of scope for improvement and is among the top chances.

10
Nucleaire silk

Last start 8th of 10 at Dubbo Mdn on November 1 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Stormy Swey with 125lbs at $6. The run before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 at Armidale Mdn on October 25 over 5 ½f, head behind Tourtel with 125lbs at $3.50. Worth another chance with conditions more favourable.

3rd Pick
10

Nucleaire

Jockey: Nick Palmer

Trainer: Brett & Georgie Cavanough

J: Nick Palmer

T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough

172---15%6/1

Analysis

Last start 8th of 10 at Dubbo Mdn on November 1 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Stormy Swey with 125lbs at $6. The run before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 at Armidale Mdn on October 25 over 5 ½f, head behind Tourtel with 125lbs at $3.50. Worth another chance with conditions more favourable.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.