AU - Wellington - Race 2

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

17.4K

VIEW

Verdict

NAFTALI (3) was ridden closer to the speed and held on well for second last start when second-up over today's trip at Armidale. Has been in the money at both previous third-up runs, including last prep at Muswellbrook. Has had plenty of chances but he looks to have an edge on this field. THE BULLET (5) returned to form with blinkers on last time out, closing well but finding one a little better over this course and distance. Poses a threat if he manages to hold that level of performance. HUTT STREET (2) led for home but couldn't hold out The Bullet and one other in a similar race here eight days ago. Meets him 2kgs better today with the claim so there shouldn't be a lot between them again. CASDAEMON (1) has been competitive in a couple of shorter races to launch this prep. Draws a far better gate and can improve over a bit more ground third-up. WILLIAM'S SMILE (7) is a 28-start maiden who wasn't far away last time. One for the exotics.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 8th of 11 at Scone Mdn on October 24 over 6f, 4 len behind Regal Problem carrying 128lbs at $31. Second run from a spell held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Armidale Ctry Mdn on November 9 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Navy Buoy with 126lbs at $5.50. Ready to win after a solid performance last time out. 1st Pick 3 Naftali Jockey: Braith Nock Trainer: Brett & Georgie Cavanough J: Braith Nock T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough	248	-	-	-	62%	8/13
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 8th of 11 at Scone Mdn on October 24 over 6f, 4 len behind Regal Problem carrying 128lbs at $31. Second run from a spell held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Armidale Ctry Mdn on November 9 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Navy Buoy with 126lbs at $5.50. Ready to win after a solid performance last time out.
5	Most recently 2nd of 8 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Priscila Statement with 126lbs at $18. Before that 9th of 12 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw on November 1 over 7f, 10 len behind Maybe Now carrying 130lbs at $21. Made headway last time. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort. 2nd Pick 5 The Bullet Jockey: Dylan Stanley Trainer: Jim Mcmillan J: Dylan Stanley T: Jim Mcmillan	148	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 8 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Priscila Statement with 126lbs at $18. Before that 9th of 12 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw on November 1 over 7f, 10 len behind Maybe Now carrying 130lbs at $21. Made headway last time. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort.
2	Form hard to fault. Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Priscila Statement with 130lbs at $10. The run before that 4th of 10 at Narromine Mdn-Sw on October 18 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Dervinia with 123lbs at $2.15. Thereabouts last time out. Going well and is one to consider. 3rd Pick 2 Hutt Street Jockey: Leeshelle Small Trainer: Brett Thompson J: Leeshelle Small T: Brett Thompson	98	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Priscila Statement with 130lbs at $10. The run before that 4th of 10 at Narromine Mdn-Sw on October 18 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Dervinia with 123lbs at $2.15. Thereabouts last time out. Going well and is one to consider.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.