AU - Warwick Farm - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

41.4K

VIEW

Verdict

BURN THE SKY (6) was sent out a $2.60 favourite at her last start over this course and distance but wasn't ridden out when it was feared she was injured. The run prior to that was a promising second-up performance here over the mile. Trialled satisfactorily and is ready to pick up the pieces. LEICA STORM (2) led and gave a sight but found one a little better two back over 1 ?m at the Kensington circuit. Didn't run a strong 1 ³/16m at Newcastle last start. Worth another chance. NAINA (3) is a consistent mare but finds it hard to win. Came home with a wet sail to get up for fourth last time out over 7f at this track. Has a strong record at the mile and J Mac going on doesn't harm her chances. CHILLI MARGS (7) raced wide without cover and died on her run when second-up over 7f here recently. Fitter now and not out of the contest. DJAPANA (9) is a four-time winner over the mile who flashed home for third last start in a 7f BM78. This looks an ideal scenario.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Returns from a 37-day let-up. At the latest run ran last of 8 in a F&M Bm72 at this track on October 5 over 1m, on a slow track, 17 len behind Storm Season carrying 131lbs at $2.60. The run before that 4th of 8 in a F&M Bm78 at this track on September 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Samarelle carrying 126lbs at $8.50. Has trialled recently and can bounce back to form. 1st Pick 6 Burn The Sky Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton J: Dylan Gibbons T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton	160	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Returns from a 37-day let-up. At the latest run ran last of 8 in a F&M Bm72 at this track on October 5 over 1m, on a slow track, 17 len behind Storm Season carrying 131lbs at $2.60. The run before that 4th of 8 in a F&M Bm78 at this track on September 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Samarelle carrying 126lbs at $8.50. Has trialled recently and can bounce back to form.
2	At the latest run ran last of 7 in a Bm72 at Newcastle on October 17 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 3.5 len behind Sumac carrying 129lbs at $2.70. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 in a 5yo+ Bm72 at Randwick Kensington on October 7 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Off The Scale with 129lbs at $3.50. Raely far away and is one of the leading chances. 2nd Pick 2 Leica Storm Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Tommy Berry T: Matthew Smith	152	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 7 in a Bm72 at Newcastle on October 17 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 3.5 len behind Sumac carrying 129lbs at $2.70. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 in a 5yo+ Bm72 at Randwick Kensington on October 7 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Off The Scale with 129lbs at $3.50. Raely far away and is one of the leading chances.
3	Form hard to fault. At the latest run came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 in a 5yo+ Bm78 at this track on October 28 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Hanau with 118lbs at $7. Before that 4th of 11 in a Bm70 at Caulfield on October 14 over 7 ¼f, 1.5 len behind Porter carrying 129lbs at $9.50. The engagement of McDonald might be the key. 3rd Pick 3 Naina Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Chris Waller J: James Mcdonald T: Chris Waller	176	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 in a 5yo+ Bm78 at this track on October 28 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Hanau with 118lbs at $7. Before that 4th of 11 in a Bm70 at Caulfield on October 14 over 7 ¼f, 1.5 len behind Porter carrying 129lbs at $9.50. The engagement of McDonald might be the key.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.