AU - Warwick Farm - Race 6

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

42.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Scratchings have thinned this race right out. MADRINA (5) dominated first-up at Hawkesbury then raced on the speed but tired at the end of 6f at Randwick last start. Back to her pet trip and is the winner of two from three when third-up. Hard to beat at a decent price back at the midweeks. CONFIDENTIALITY (13) kept her 100% top three stats intact when a closing second over 5f at Randwick last time out. Taking on older horses today and she is untried in wet conditions but there is more upside to her than the rest of this field. SILENCIO PORFAVOR (15) last appeared 23 days ago when a closing third over this distance at the Kensington track. Takes on a better field today but he is honest and will be prominent for a long way. GLORIOUS MOMENTS (1) returns from a ten-month break. Won two from two last prep off a 15-month lay-off. Talented and McDonald's booking is a good leg-up. HEURISTIC (10) likes it wet and can run a bit of a race first-up.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	1 Glorious Moments Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Jim & Greg Lee J: James Mcdonald T: Jim & Greg Lee	85	-	-	-	67%
2	3rd Pick 2 Hezdarnhottoo Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Non Runner T: Bjorn Baker	175	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
3	3 Negotiations Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Non Runner T: Ciaron Maher	113	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
4	4 Teylu Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Gratz Vella J: Non Runner T: Gratz Vella	99	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
5	1st Pick 5 Madrina Jockey: Coriah Keatings Trainer: Nick Olive J: Coriah Keatings T: Nick Olive	167	-	-	-	12%
6	6 Formal Jockey: Shannen Llewellyn Trainer: Nathan Doyle J: Shannen Llewellyn T: Nathan Doyle	112	-	-	-	5%
7	7 President Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jason Coyle J: Non Runner T: Jason Coyle	64	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
8	8 Useapin Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Chris Waller J: Non Runner T: Chris Waller	104	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
9	9 Kreon Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Danny Williams J: Non Runner T: Danny Williams	59	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
10	10 Heuristic Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Dylan Gibbons T: Bjorn Baker	105	-	-	-	7%
11	11 Tartaglia Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Paul Snowden J: Non Runner T: Paul Snowden	85	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
12	12 Zale Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Gary Nickson J: Non Runner T: Gary Nickson	125	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
13	2nd Pick 13 Confidentiality Jockey: Sam Clipperton Trainer: Joseph Pride J: Sam Clipperton T: Joseph Pride	141	-	-	-	29%
14	14 Fairway To Heaven Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Non Runner T: Michael Freedman	133	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
15	15 Silencio Porfavor Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Zac Lloyd T: Matthew Smith	103	-	-	-	7%
16	16 Lady Shenanigans Jockey: Jeff Penza Trainer: Mitchell & Desiree Kearney J: Jeff Penza T: Mitchell & Desiree Kearney	75	-	-	-	3%
17	17 Margin Call Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Non Runner T: Ciaron Maher	62	-	-	-	1%	Scratched