AU - Warwick Farm - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

41.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Ron Quinton's handy mare RANTAN (7) improved sharply last start at the second run of the campaign, battling on well for third over this course and distance. Goes up in grade but with Fitzgerald's claim drops a massive 6kgs. Twice a winner here at 5f so everything points to a peak performance. VELLA'S BEST (6) is not the stable star but Gratz Vella has this four-year-old flying with three wins on the bounce, the latest when fresh from a 170-day spell in open company over this trip at Canberra. Ran third to King's Secret last prep on a Saturday in town so he is well and truly up to this. WONDEREACH (1) and SHIRVINGTON (2) clashed over today's journey at Wyong recently and it was the latter who got the verdict by a neck, just getting the better in the dying stages. A 11lbs swing to Wondereach might see the tables turned today. NESRINE (4) has won four on the trot, resuming with a tough victory over 5 ½f here three weeks ago. Two for two with Berry aboard. Must be included.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Third-up today. First-up second last of 12 at Randwick Midway Bm72 on February 14 over 5f, 7 len behind Mal Coupe with 129lbs at $4. Second run from a spell sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at this track Bm72 on March 4 over 5f, slow going 1.75 len behind Wootton Lass with 131lbs at $5. Racing well. Hitting form at the right time and this looks a nice assignment. 1st Pick 7 Rantan Jockey: Mollie Fitzgerald Trainer: Ron Quinton J: Mollie Fitzgerald T: Ron Quinton	139	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up second last of 12 at Randwick Midway Bm72 on February 14 over 5f, 7 len behind Mal Coupe with 129lbs at $4. Second run from a spell sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at this track Bm72 on March 4 over 5f, slow going 1.75 len behind Wootton Lass with 131lbs at $5. Racing well. Hitting form at the right time and this looks a nice assignment.
6	Second-up. First-up after six months favourite, won by 1.1 len at Canberra Open March 8 over 5f on a soft track defeating Panic carrying 131lbs at $1.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 11 at Rosehill 3yo Bm72 on June 28 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind King's Secret with 125lbs at $21. Big chance to win again for the high-flying stable. 2nd Pick 6 Vella's Best Jockey: Damon Budler Trainer: Gratz Vella J: Damon Budler T: Gratz Vella	164	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months favourite, won by 1.1 len at Canberra Open March 8 over 5f on a soft track defeating Panic carrying 131lbs at $1.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 11 at Rosehill 3yo Bm72 on June 28 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind King's Secret with 125lbs at $21. Big chance to win again for the high-flying stable.
1	At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 2nd in a small field at Wyong Bm78 on March 18 over 5f, slow going neck behind Shirvington with 136lbs at $3.90. The race before that 5th of 11 at Rosehill Bm94 on February 21 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Kerguelen with 117lbs at $61. Nicely in with the claim and should be in the finish again. 3rd Pick 1 Wondereach Jockey: William Stanley Trainer: Matthew Smith J: William Stanley T: Matthew Smith	207	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 2nd in a small field at Wyong Bm78 on March 18 over 5f, slow going neck behind Shirvington with 136lbs at $3.90. The race before that 5th of 11 at Rosehill Bm94 on February 21 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Kerguelen with 117lbs at $61. Nicely in with the claim and should be in the finish again.

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