AU - Warwick Farm - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

42.9K

VIEW

Verdict

COBRA CLUB (7) is a consistent conveyance who has hit the top-four in all five runs this preparation and rarely puts in a poor one. Has a win and a second from four attempts over this mile journey and should give backers a sight up on speed. Right in this contest. CUBAN CIGAR (2) hasn't been too far away in Saturday metro grade of late and should find this affair a bit easier. Gets 7lbs off with the claim and ready to peak now fourth-up from the spell. No reason why he cannot take this out. BOTANICAL BOY (3) has been just behind the placegetters in all three outings this campaign and will appreciate the step-up to the mile now. Well placed on best figures. The well-related LEICA STORM (9) (full to G2 winner and G1 placed Snitty Kitty) gets Lloyd on top from a low draw and shouldn't be discounted lightly. CLANCY (6) rounds out the selections in a race with a few chances.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 in a Bm72 at Canterbury on September 16 over 7 ¾f, nose behind Fierceness with 127lbs at $2.70. Before that 4th of 9 in a Bm72 at Canterbury on August 26 over 7 ¾f, slow going 2.25 len behind Pierro Lad carrying 128lbs at $3.90. Nice effort last time. One of the main contenders. 1st Pick 7 Cobra Club Jockey: Tim Clark Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Tim Clark T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	162	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 in a Bm72 at Canterbury on September 16 over 7 ¾f, nose behind Fierceness with 127lbs at $2.70. Before that 4th of 9 in a Bm72 at Canterbury on August 26 over 7 ¾f, slow going 2.25 len behind Pierro Lad carrying 128lbs at $3.90. Nice effort last time. One of the main contenders.
2	Most recently 6th of 11 in a Cg&E Bm78 at Rosehill on August 29 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Mr Miller with 126lbs at $26. The start before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a Midway Bm72 at Rosehill on August 15 over 7 ½f, nose behind Attractiveness with 123lbs at $6.50. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 2 Cuban Cigar Jockey: Shannen Llewellyn Trainer: Tracey Bartley J: Shannen Llewellyn T: Tracey Bartley	144	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Most recently 6th of 11 in a Cg&E Bm78 at Rosehill on August 29 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Mr Miller with 126lbs at $26. The start before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a Midway Bm72 at Rosehill on August 15 over 7 ½f, nose behind Attractiveness with 123lbs at $6.50. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.
3	At the latest run 5th of 11 in a Cg&E Bm78 at Rosehill on August 29 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Mr Miller with 125lbs at $5.50. The race before that 4th of 12 in a Bm70 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Stay Silent carrying 133lbs at $4. Capable of a lot more, worth another chance. 3rd Pick 3 Botanical Boy Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Tommy Berry T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	133	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 11 in a Cg&E Bm78 at Rosehill on August 29 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Mr Miller with 125lbs at $5.50. The race before that 4th of 12 in a Bm70 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Stay Silent carrying 133lbs at $4. Capable of a lot more, worth another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.