AU - Warwick Farm - Race 5

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

10.5f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

42.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Midweek staying contest which is a typically difficult assignment for punters. At odds BLACKLIST (6) might be worth the gamble. Ran a better race last start at the fourth run back from a spell, battling on well to be beaten just 1.3 lengths over 1 ?m in a Hawkesbury Saturday metro race. Looking for this trip now and is peaking at the right time. NATOYA (9) caught the eye over the mile here two back then lacked a turn of foot over 1 ?m at Hawkesbury last time. Happy to give her another chance over this longer journey at the fourth run back from a break. Waller brings SO SUAVE (8) to NSW after some sound recent efforts at or around this trip in Victoria. On-pacer who will be given every chance with McDonald in the saddle. DOLCE DIOR (11) is racing well without winning. Placed at both runs here at this distance and with the light weight is a genuine contender. LUPA CAPITOLINA (15) backs up seven days after an eye-catching second over 1 ?m at the Kenso. Will be running on again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Most recently 4th of 11 at Hawkesbury Bm78 on May 2 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Sacrify with 121lbs at $31. The start before that 10th of 14 at Wagga Murrumcup Bm86 on April 19 over 1m, 5 len behind Cosmic Lad with 130lbs at $5.50. Better run last time and is cherry ripe now. 1st Pick 6 Blacklist Jockey: Tim Clark Trainer: Mack Griffith J: Tim Clark T: Mack Griffith	140	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Most recently 4th of 11 at Hawkesbury Bm78 on May 2 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Sacrify with 121lbs at $31. The start before that 10th of 14 at Wagga Murrumcup Bm86 on April 19 over 1m, 5 len behind Cosmic Lad with 130lbs at $5.50. Better run last time and is cherry ripe now.
9	At the latest run ran last of 11 at Hawkesbury Bm78 on May 2 over 1m, 6 len behind Sacrify with 120lbs at $7.50. The run before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Bm78 on April 15 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Fiddlers Green with 121lbs at $11. Prepared to forget last start - looking for this trip. 2nd Pick 9 Natoya Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: John Sargent J: Zac Lloyd T: John Sargent	132	-	-	-	25%
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 11 at Hawkesbury Bm78 on May 2 over 1m, 6 len behind Sacrify with 120lbs at $7.50. The run before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Bm78 on April 15 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Fiddlers Green with 121lbs at $11. Prepared to forget last start - looking for this trip.
8	At the latest run led to the turn then faded 5th of 12 at Bendigo Bm74 on May 2 over 1m, 1.4 len behind House Of Lords carrying 123lbs at $6. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on April 15 over 1 5/16m, slow going long-neck behind Houdini with 127lbs at $4.20. Consistent stayer with each-way claims. 3rd Pick 8 So Suave Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Chris Waller J: James Mcdonald T: Chris Waller	160	-	-	-	40%
Analysis At the latest run led to the turn then faded 5th of 12 at Bendigo Bm74 on May 2 over 1m, 1.4 len behind House Of Lords carrying 123lbs at $6. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on April 15 over 1 5/16m, slow going long-neck behind Houdini with 127lbs at $4.20. Consistent stayer with each-way claims.

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A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

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