AU - Warwick Farm - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

41.8K

VIEW

Verdict

TANGLEWOOD JIMMY (8) lacks early speed but possesses a powerful turn of foot on his day. Every chance he lands in a sticky spot from the low draw but if the gap appears he will prove tough to hold out. Can't knock the form of ALL STAR (7) who shoots for the hat-trick. This is obviously tougher but her gets 3kgs off after dominating a CL1 at Kembla. Boudvillain goes again. HEREWARD (3) has mixed his form this prep but has peaks that stack up and loves this trip. Roper sticks with the 3lbs claim to make things that bit sweeter. CHARLEROI (6) only warmed late when resuming in the slop on the Kenso. Better for that and will relish the rise to the mile. Up to this. HE'S GOT GRUNT (10) made the perfect return at Hawkesbury and deserves following up with Schiller sticking.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 9 at this track Bm72 on June 24 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Concordia Wind with 119lbs at $7. The start before that won by 0.6 len at Newcastle Cg&E Bm64 June 6 over 7f on a soft track defeating Auzstar with 123lbs at $2.70. Gets in light with the 7lbs claim and cam burst through late. 1st Pick 8 Tanglewood Jimmy Jockey: Shannen Llewellyn Trainer: Wayne Wilkes J: Shannen Llewellyn T: Wayne Wilkes	96	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 9 at this track Bm72 on June 24 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Concordia Wind with 119lbs at $7. The start before that won by 0.6 len at Newcastle Cg&E Bm64 June 6 over 7f on a soft track defeating Auzstar with 123lbs at $2.70. Gets in light with the 7lbs claim and cam burst through late.
7	Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 2.5 len at Kembla Grange Prov Cl1 June 20 over 7f on a soft track defeating Dynast King with 130lbs at $3.50. The race before that favourite, came from midfield and won by a head at Newcastle Super Mdn May 2 over 7 ½f defeating Titan Of Fury with 129lbs at $7.50. Can't knock winning form, so have to take seriously. 2nd Pick 7 All Star Jockey: Pierre Boudvillain Trainer: Fabio Martino J: Pierre Boudvillain T: Fabio Martino	110	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 2.5 len at Kembla Grange Prov Cl1 June 20 over 7f on a soft track defeating Dynast King with 130lbs at $3.50. The race before that favourite, came from midfield and won by a head at Newcastle Super Mdn May 2 over 7 ½f defeating Titan Of Fury with 129lbs at $7.50. Can't knock winning form, so have to take seriously.
3	Last start did the work up front then tired 5th of 10 at Randwick Kensington Bm72 on July 1 over 7 ¾f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Kenmare Bay carrying 126lbs at $6. The race before that sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 14 at Randwick Midway Bm72 on June 20 over 1m, slow going 12 len behind The Mona Lisa with 125lbs at $6.50. Leading player on best figures. 3rd Pick 3 Hereward Jockey: Anna Roper Trainer: Denim Wynen J: Anna Roper T: Denim Wynen	172	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Last start did the work up front then tired 5th of 10 at Randwick Kensington Bm72 on July 1 over 7 ¾f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Kenmare Bay carrying 126lbs at $6. The race before that sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 14 at Randwick Midway Bm72 on June 20 over 1m, slow going 12 len behind The Mona Lisa with 125lbs at $6.50. Leading player on best figures.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.