AU - Warwick Farm - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

41.4K

VIEW

Verdict

CORMAC T (6) came off a break of 46 days when a decent fourth behind Subarctic at Wyong last start. Has a career top three strike rate of 67% so he is due to perform at the fourth run back. With that last run under the belt and the blinkers going on we should see him peak for this. SUIT OF ARMOUR (9) started $2.50 but was an abject failure in a BM72 over a slightly shorter trip here last time out. Clearly a better horse than that and a subsequent trial might bring him on. One more chance. KNIGHTS ARMOUR (2) settled last and passed half the field in the straight in the 1 ¼m Albury Cup recently. This isn't as tough and he will be cherry ripe after three runs back. STYLEBENDER (3) led all the way to win a 1 ½m race at this level two back at Rosehill. Finished ahead of Cormac T at Wyong last time so his credentials are hard to fault. DE LOUVIERE (10) defeated the in-form Goofinator at Kembla last start. That form ties him in nicely.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Racing well recently. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Wyong Bm78 on March 18 over 1 5/16m, slow going 2.5 len behind Subarctic with 130lbs at $3.60. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Rosehill Bm78 on January 31 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Willie Oppa carrying 129lbs at $6.50. Not far away last time. Genuine campaigner who looks ready to hit his peak now. 1st Pick 6 Cormac T Jockey: Mollie Fitzgerald Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Mollie Fitzgerald T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	123	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Wyong Bm78 on March 18 over 1 5/16m, slow going 2.5 len behind Subarctic with 130lbs at $3.60. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Rosehill Bm78 on January 31 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Willie Oppa carrying 129lbs at $6.50. Not far away last time. Genuine campaigner who looks ready to hit his peak now.
9	Last start 7th of 10 at this track Bm72 on March 4 over 1 5/16m, slow going 7 len behind Goofinator carrying 131lbs at $2.50. The race before that got back early 6th of 10 at Canterbury Bm78 on February 13 over 1 ³/16m, 1.5 len behind Centenario with 126lbs at $9. A little disappointing last time but worth another chance fourth-up with the shades back on. 2nd Pick 9 Suit Of Armour Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Tom Charlton J: Zac Lloyd T: Tom Charlton	152	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start 7th of 10 at this track Bm72 on March 4 over 1 5/16m, slow going 7 len behind Goofinator carrying 131lbs at $2.50. The race before that got back early 6th of 10 at Canterbury Bm78 on February 13 over 1 ³/16m, 1.5 len behind Centenario with 126lbs at $9. A little disappointing last time but worth another chance fourth-up with the shades back on.
2	At the latest run 7th of 14 at Albury in the LR Albury Cup on March 20 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Bianco Vilano carrying 119lbs at $51. The race before that 5th of 12 at Canberra in the LR Canb Cup on March 8 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2.5 len behind Touristic with 119lbs at $18. Back in grade and well in after Stanley's claim. 3rd Pick 2 Knights Armour Jockey: William Stanley Trainer: Ross Lavis J: William Stanley T: Ross Lavis	163	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 14 at Albury in the LR Albury Cup on March 20 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Bianco Vilano carrying 119lbs at $51. The race before that 5th of 12 at Canberra in the LR Canb Cup on March 8 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2.5 len behind Touristic with 119lbs at $18. Back in grade and well in after Stanley's claim.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.