AU - Warwick Farm - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

42.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Honest mare SUPERFABULISTIC (11) was rewarded for her consistency with a dogged win in a similar race here two weeks ago. Yet to be tested in heavy ground but her dam is by Savabeel which is a good sign. Should roll along on the speed and prove tough to catch again. MOJAVE RIVER (6) settled midfield and couldn't quicken as hoped behind Superfabulistic here a fortnight ago. Fitter for two runs back from a spell and the blinkers go on so a sharper performance is on the cards. HOVLAND (3) took a lot of ground off Superfabulistic when resuming here last time, beaten under a length. Strips fitter and although staying at the mile he will be hard to resist again. THE CREATOR (1) also went around in that BM72 here on 6 May and was strong late. Should be peaking at the third run back. SCALEXTRICS (5) isn't exactly flying at present but his three wins from five runs on heavy tracks brings him under notice.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at this track Bm72 May 6 over 1m defeating Hovland with 120lbs at $2.70. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Canterbury F&M Bm64 on April 22 over 7 ¾f, 0.6 len behind Spanish Artist carrying 128lbs at $3.20. Genuine mare who can win again with the confidence high. 1st Pick 11 Superfabulistic Jockey: Rachel King Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Rachel King T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	155	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at this track Bm72 May 6 over 1m defeating Hovland with 120lbs at $2.70. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Canterbury F&M Bm64 on April 22 over 7 ¾f, 0.6 len behind Spanish Artist carrying 128lbs at $3.20. Genuine mare who can win again with the confidence high.
6	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 8th of 10 at Randwick 3&4yo Bm72 on April 25 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Enamorada with 121lbs at $21. Second-up 5th of 10 at this track Bm72 on May 6 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Superfabulistic with 130lbs at $4.40. Capable of a better showing. Likely improver at the third run back with blinkers going on. 2nd Pick 6 Mojave River Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Chris Waller J: James Mcdonald T: Chris Waller	175	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 8th of 10 at Randwick 3&4yo Bm72 on April 25 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Enamorada with 121lbs at $21. Second-up 5th of 10 at this track Bm72 on May 6 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Superfabulistic with 130lbs at $4.40. Capable of a better showing. Likely improver at the third run back with blinkers going on.
3	Second run back. First-up after nine months 2nd of 10 at this track Bm72 on May 6 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Superfabulistic with 129lbs at $26. Previously second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Gosford Cl1 on May 29 over 1m, in the wet, nose behind Okami Star with 129lbs at $2.90. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat. 3rd Pick 3 Hovland Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Tom Charlton J: Zac Lloyd T: Tom Charlton	112	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after nine months 2nd of 10 at this track Bm72 on May 6 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Superfabulistic with 129lbs at $26. Previously second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Gosford Cl1 on May 29 over 1m, in the wet, nose behind Okami Star with 129lbs at $2.90. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.