AU - Warwick Farm - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

42.9K

VIEW

Verdict

More like a provincial Bm64 than a metro. FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN (6) made it two wins from her last three starts when she got the job done comfortably over this distance at Wyong last start. Will slide across and sit up on the pace again. No reason she cannot add to her growing record. WOOTTON WAY (10) chased the winner all the way down the straight but just failed to grab second when resuming at Kembla recently. Strips fitter and can easily turn that result around although she is untried in wet conditions. NANDINA (8) was in the market but didn't fire first-up here a fortnight ago. Can improve coming back in distance. BRUCE I AM (5) is a nose off being two-for-two. Promising three-year-old who should measure up with Nash in charge. HELLO CAPTAIN (7) is back from a 21-week spell. Both runs in the maiden prep were in Queensland which makes him hard to line up but the early market is bullish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Dual acceptor. Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.4 len at Wyong F&M Bm64 April 30 over 5 ½f defeating Into Brooklyn carrying 131lbs at $2.25. The start before that 3rd of 9 at Hawkesbury 3yo Bm64 on April 8 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind La Basilique with 128lbs at $8. Racing in great heart and is ready to take on this company. 1st Pick 6 Fairway To Heaven Jockey: Tim Clark Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Tim Clark T: Michael Freedman	193	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.4 len at Wyong F&M Bm64 April 30 over 5 ½f defeating Into Brooklyn carrying 131lbs at $2.25. The start before that 3rd of 9 at Hawkesbury 3yo Bm64 on April 8 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind La Basilique with 128lbs at $8. Racing in great heart and is ready to take on this company.
1	Last start 2nd of 7 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on May 9 over 6f, 2 len behind Hellova Nature carrying 132lbs at $11. The start before that 6th of 12 at Canberra Open on March 8 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Vella's Best carrying 130lbs at $26. Definite winning chance. One of the major hopes in a race that lacks metro quality. 2nd Pick 1 Take The Rap Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Norm Gardner J: Non Runner T: Norm Gardner	98	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 2nd of 7 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on May 9 over 6f, 2 len behind Hellova Nature carrying 132lbs at $11. The start before that 6th of 12 at Canberra Open on March 8 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Vella's Best carrying 130lbs at $26. Definite winning chance. One of the major hopes in a race that lacks metro quality.
10	Second-up. First-up after five months held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on May 9 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Hellova Nature with 129lbs at $3.10. Previously second-up 6th of 9 at Randwick Kensington 3yo F Mdn on December 5 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind La Basilique with 127lbs at $7.50. Can progress from that run and is worth following up. 3rd Pick 10 Wootton Way Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Chris Waller J: Zac Lloyd T: Chris Waller	161	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on May 9 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Hellova Nature with 129lbs at $3.10. Previously second-up 6th of 9 at Randwick Kensington 3yo F Mdn on December 5 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind La Basilique with 127lbs at $7.50. Can progress from that run and is worth following up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race