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5:00 AM

AU - Warwick Farm - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
10.6f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
42.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PIERRO LAD (2) just missed the placings last time out but prior to that had strung three wins together on the bounce. Gets the services of Lloyd on board from the low draw and should give backers a sight. Import GRAFTON STREET (5) has hit the frame in both local outings to date and will be ready for the step-up in trip now. Has to be included in calculations. MY CHARM (6) will be rock-hard fit now fourth-up from the break and is more than capable enough on her day. Top-three candidate on best figures. SUPREME SOVEREIGN (9) has placed around this circuit and is usually thereabouts. One for the exotics players. The well-related COUNTY KILKENNY (7) (half to G2 winner Waterford) best of the rest.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Pierro Lad silk

Most recently 4th of 8 in a Bm72 at Randwick Kensington on September 9 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Columbus carrying 132lbs at $6. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.2 len in a Bm72 at Canterbury on August 26 over 7 ¾f on a soft track defeating Pierata's Gem with 126lbs at $7.50. In the mix on best form.

1st Pick
2

Pierro Lad

Jockey: Zac Lloyd

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Zac Lloyd

T: Ciaron Maher

184---23%7/2

Analysis

Most recently 4th of 8 in a Bm72 at Randwick Kensington on September 9 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Columbus carrying 132lbs at $6. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.2 len in a Bm72 at Canterbury on August 26 over 7 ¾f on a soft track defeating Pierata's Gem with 126lbs at $7.50. In the mix on best form.

5
Grafton Street silk

Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 7 in a Cl1 at Hawkesbury on August 11 over 7 ½f, slow going 1.4 len behind Pierro Lad carrying 134lbs at $2.60. Second-up 2nd in a small field in a Cl1-Sw at Hawkesbury on September 5 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Mister Rizz carrying 130lbs at $5. Big chance.

2nd Pick
5

Grafton Street

Jockey: Rachel King

Trainer: Bjorn Baker

J: Rachel King

T: Bjorn Baker

152---19%9/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 7 in a Cl1 at Hawkesbury on August 11 over 7 ½f, slow going 1.4 len behind Pierro Lad carrying 134lbs at $2.60. Second-up 2nd in a small field in a Cl1-Sw at Hawkesbury on September 5 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Mister Rizz carrying 130lbs at $5. Big chance.

6
My Charm silk

At the latest run 2nd of 8 in a Bm72 at Randwick Kensington on September 9 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Columbus with 125lbs at $21. The race before that won by 2.5 len in a Bm64 at Hawkesbury on August 20 over 1m on a soft track defeating Binkou with 129lbs at $4.60. Likely to feature again.

3rd Pick
6

My Charm

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: James Mcdonald

T: Chris Waller

174---15%6/1

Analysis

At the latest run 2nd of 8 in a Bm72 at Randwick Kensington on September 9 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Columbus with 125lbs at $21. The race before that won by 2.5 len in a Bm64 at Hawkesbury on August 20 over 1m on a soft track defeating Binkou with 129lbs at $4.60. Likely to feature again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.