AU - Warwick Farm - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

41.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Progressive three-year-old PAPPA BLUE (7) made it two in a row when he comfortably took out a BM64 over 7f at Kembla last start. Getting through the line well so the extra 1f holds no fears. The ratings suggest he has what it takes to go to this level. OSO SPIRITED (8) is another lightly raced conveyance heading the right way. Resumed with a powerful on pace win in a maiden over this course and distance four weeks ago. Trialled subsequently to keep her up to the mark. Should give a great sight again. Distance specialist MALABAR (1) clocked up another win over the mile at Hawkesbury recently at BM64 level. Nicely in after the claim and a big run looks on the cards. Stablemate MORNINGTON PIER (2) got too far back at Kembla last time in a Provincial Championship qualifier - his effort to finish just 1.3 lengths away was excellent. Hard to beat stepping out to the mile. NATOYA (4) has compelling stats at this trip and has placed two from three first-up so she deserves some thought.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Chasing a hat-trick. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.3 len at Kembla Grange Bm64 March 13 over 7f in soft going defeating Change My Address carrying 125lbs at $3.90. The run before that won by 1.0 len at Scone Mdn-Sw February 24 over 7f on a soft track defeating Scoop The Pool carrying 129lbs at $2.25. Going ahead in leaps and bounds this prep and he looks well and truly up to city grade. 1st Pick 7 Pappa Blue Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Non Runner T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	158	-	-	-	27%	Scratched
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.3 len at Kembla Grange Bm64 March 13 over 7f in soft going defeating Change My Address carrying 125lbs at $3.90. The run before that won by 1.0 len at Scone Mdn-Sw February 24 over 7f on a soft track defeating Scoop The Pool carrying 129lbs at $2.25. Going ahead in leaps and bounds this prep and he looks well and truly up to city grade.
8	Second run back. First-up after nine months won by 1.75 len at this track Super 3yo+ Mdn March 4 over 1m on a soft track defeating Think Itz You with 121lbs at $6. Previously second-up 4th of 7 at Hawkesbury Super Mdn-Sw on June 26 over 7 ½f, 2.75 len behind Jamarni with 126lbs at $3.70. Back in terrific shape and can go onto better things this prep. 2nd Pick 8 Oso Spirited Jockey: Rachel King Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Rachel King T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	123	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after nine months won by 1.75 len at this track Super 3yo+ Mdn March 4 over 1m on a soft track defeating Think Itz You with 121lbs at $6. Previously second-up 4th of 7 at Hawkesbury Super Mdn-Sw on June 26 over 7 ½f, 2.75 len behind Jamarni with 126lbs at $3.70. Back in terrific shape and can go onto better things this prep.
1	Last start won by 0.5 len at Hawkesbury Bm64 March 17 over 7 ½f defeating Commanding Artist with 129lbs at $3.80. The start before that 6th of 9 at Canterbury Bm72 on February 27 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Cellarmaster with 121lbs at $21. Multiple winner over this distance and can improve further at the fifth run of the prep. 3rd Pick 1 Malabar Jockey: Shannen Llewellyn Trainer: Nathan Doyle J: Shannen Llewellyn T: Nathan Doyle	186	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start won by 0.5 len at Hawkesbury Bm64 March 17 over 7 ½f defeating Commanding Artist with 129lbs at $3.80. The start before that 6th of 9 at Canterbury Bm72 on February 27 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Cellarmaster with 121lbs at $21. Multiple winner over this distance and can improve further at the fifth run of the prep.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.