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4:30 AM

AU - Warwick Farm - Race 3

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
41.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Some impressive last start winners come together. PRIORY PARK (1) is the one that appeals most after returning from a 24-week break with a stunning win over 5f at Kembla. Failed at his only try over 6f but it was in Saturday company at the end of the prep. McDonald a key booking. Can go right on with it. REGAL (6) started at $1.90 and justified the quote over this distance at Kembla last time out, lengthening beautifully to win her maiden by seven lengths. Has only raced twice so her potential is untapped. BAYLIE'S FOLLY (5) returned for a second campaign with a very comfortable maiden win over today's journey in a recent Nowra maiden. Yet to be testing on anything but a wet track which is the only small question mark. KOSEI TOP (2) has not raced since winning a Sale maiden over this trip back in July. Takes on better types now but has plenty of scope for improvement this prep. MISS SCANDAL (4) needs to lift now but is fitter for two runs back from a spell.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Priory Park silk

Second run back. First-up after six months favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 4.5 len in a Bm64 at Kembla Grange on October 24 over 5f defeating Queen's Rhapsody carrying 122lbs at $2.45. Previously second-up favourite, won by 0.5 len in a Star Kingdom at Muswellbrook on May 1 over 5f defeating Dr Hook carrying 127lbs at $3.20. Sure to measure up in this stronger race.

1st Pick
1

Priory Park

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald

J: James Mcdonald

T: Annabel & Rob Archibald

203---61%4/6

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after six months favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 4.5 len in a Bm64 at Kembla Grange on October 24 over 5f defeating Queen's Rhapsody carrying 122lbs at $2.45. Previously second-up favourite, won by 0.5 len in a Star Kingdom at Muswellbrook on May 1 over 5f defeating Dr Hook carrying 127lbs at $3.20. Sure to measure up in this stronger race.

6
Regal silk

Raced two times to date. At debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 in a Super Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 8 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Revolina carrying 121lbs at $6. Second-up favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 7 len in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Kembla Grange on October 24 over 6f defeating Let's Be Honest with 122lbs at $1.90. Ready to take on this company.

2nd Pick
6

Regal

Jockey: Sam Clipperton

Trainer: Bjorn Baker

J: Sam Clipperton

T: Bjorn Baker

151---20%4/1

Analysis

Raced two times to date. At debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 in a Super Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 8 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Revolina carrying 121lbs at $6. Second-up favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 7 len in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Kembla Grange on October 24 over 6f defeating Let's Be Honest with 122lbs at $1.90. Ready to take on this company.

5
Baylie's Folly silk

Second run back. First-up after seven months favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 3 len in a Mdn at Nowra on October 18 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Nicolosi carrying 125lbs at $2.40. Previously second-up 6th of 10 in a 2yo C&G Osc at Randwick Kensington on March 25 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Under Focus with 123lbs at $19. Can go on with it. Should be competitive again.

3rd Pick
5

Baylie's Folly

Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Kerrin Mcevoy

T: Matthew Smith

104---12%15/2

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after seven months favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 3 len in a Mdn at Nowra on October 18 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Nicolosi carrying 125lbs at $2.40. Previously second-up 6th of 10 in a 2yo C&G Osc at Randwick Kensington on March 25 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Under Focus with 123lbs at $19. Can go on with it. Should be competitive again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.