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3:55 AM

AU - Warwick Farm - Race 2

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
41.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MISS SUPERNOVA (2) returns after a 21-week break. Opened last prep with a second to the smart Agatha over 5 ½f at the Kensington circuit. Has trialled twice recently and looks set for a positive opening to the prep. WATER CITY (9) has been very strong through the line in her two starts to date, both over shorter trips than this at Hawkesbury. Sure to appreciate this step up in distance. Probably goes back from a wide alley but is the one to watch for in the dying stages. OAKFIELD VIRGINIA (3) had her first run in 14 months over this trip at Scone recently and really caught the eye in the run home, getting up for second. Has her share of talent and that last hit-out will do her the world of good. TESTAMAPATIENCE (6) raced midfield and was just fair through the line on debut over 5 ½f at Rosehill last time out. Should do a little better over the extra ½f. SINGLE LADIES (5) resumes and sees a dry track for the first time. Can improve on what we saw last prep.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Miss Supernova silk

Resumes after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign sixth of 10 at Canterbury Super 3yo Mdn-Sw June 17 over 6 ¼f, soft track, 5.5 len behind Gatwick carrying 121lbs at $4.80. Previously first up, second in a small field at Randwick Kensington 2&3yo F Mdn-Sw April 27 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Agatha carrying 125lbs at $4.40. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign.

1st Pick
2

Miss Supernova

Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy

Trainer: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou

J: Kerrin Mcevoy

T: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou

145---20%4/1

Analysis

Resumes after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign sixth of 10 at Canterbury Super 3yo Mdn-Sw June 17 over 6 ¼f, soft track, 5.5 len behind Gatwick carrying 121lbs at $4.80. Previously first up, second in a small field at Randwick Kensington 2&3yo F Mdn-Sw April 27 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Agatha carrying 125lbs at $4.40. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign.

9
Water City silk

Raced two times to date. At debut, 3rd of 8 in a Super Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 8 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Revolina with 121lbs at $17. Last start 3rd of 10 in a Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 27 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Time To Dance carrying 122lbs at $3.50. Shows ability and can play a feature role.

2nd Pick
9

Water City

Jockey: Regan Bayliss

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Regan Bayliss

T: Ciaron Maher

165---20%4/1

Analysis

Raced two times to date. At debut, 3rd of 8 in a Super Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 8 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Revolina with 121lbs at $17. Last start 3rd of 10 in a Mdn at Hawkesbury on October 27 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Time To Dance carrying 122lbs at $3.50. Shows ability and can play a feature role.

3
Oakfield Virginia silk

Second-up. Promising on debut came from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Tamworth on August 15 2025 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Kickoff carrying 122lbs at $2.70. Went for a break before returning 2nd of 11 in a Super Mdn at Scone on October 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind The Autumn Wind with 126lbs at $8. Up in grade but further improvement in store.

3rd Pick
3

Oakfield Virginia

Jockey: Jason Collett

Trainer: Kris Lees

J: Jason Collett

T: Kris Lees

136---12%15/2

Analysis

Second-up. Promising on debut came from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Tamworth on August 15 2025 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Kickoff carrying 122lbs at $2.70. Went for a break before returning 2nd of 11 in a Super Mdn at Scone on October 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind The Autumn Wind with 126lbs at $8. Up in grade but further improvement in store.

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