AU - Warwick Farm - Race 1

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

41.4K

VIEW

Verdict

SERAPHOX (9) was handed a huge task on debut last start in the Group 2 Todman Stakes and considering he raced wide the effort to be beaten a tick over four lengths had merit. Will be given every chance by McDonald and in this inferior field he looks a great chance to break through. ARTANEOUS (3) has raced twice to date and drops back from stakes grade for the first time today. Started at $8.00 but was easily accounted for first-up in the Black Opal at Canberra. Keen to give him one more chance against this field with the blinkers on. DON VALIENTE (4) crabbed around the bend on debut at Gosford and did well to stick on for third. In good hands so expect him to learn a lot from that first outing. FAWLTY AFFAIRS (5) started $7.00 on a Listed race at Caulfield recently and was there on straightening but tired late. Zac Lloyd is on the crest of a wave and will give this colt every chance. Schwarz's brother LAFITE (7) placed in a recent trial and looks to have talent.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Was at big odds at debut, second last of 8 at Randwick in the G2 Todman on March 7 over 6f, 4 len behind Paradoxium with 125lbs at $41. Expect him to run well back sharply in grade with McDonald taking over. 1st Pick 9 Seraphox Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: James Mcdonald T: Ciaron Maher	185	-	-	-	1%	99/1
Analysis Was at big odds at debut, second last of 8 at Randwick in the G2 Todman on March 7 over 6f, 4 len behind Paradoxium with 125lbs at $41. Expect him to run well back sharply in grade with McDonald taking over.
3	Third race start. First start got back early 6th of 8 at Randwick in the G3 Brdrs Plte on October 4 over 5f, 3 len behind Incognito with 123lbs at $19. Went for a break before returning 6th of 13 at Canberra in the G3 Black Opal on March 8 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Music Time carrying 123lbs at $8. Should kick on second-up with the blinkers going on. 2nd Pick 3 Artaneous Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Non Runner T: Bjorn Baker	98	-	-	-	10%	Scratched
Analysis Third race start. First start got back early 6th of 8 at Randwick in the G3 Brdrs Plte on October 4 over 5f, 3 len behind Incognito with 123lbs at $19. Went for a break before returning 6th of 13 at Canberra in the G3 Black Opal on March 8 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Music Time carrying 123lbs at $8. Should kick on second-up with the blinkers going on.
4	At debut, sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at Gosford 2yo Mdn-Sw on March 14 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Don't Look Back with 126lbs at $13. Should come on following that experience and looks one of the main contenders. 3rd Pick 4 Don Valiente Jockey: Rory Hutchings Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Rory Hutchings T: Michael Freedman	104	-	-	-	1%	99/1
Analysis At debut, sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at Gosford 2yo Mdn-Sw on March 14 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Don't Look Back with 126lbs at $13. Should come on following that experience and looks one of the main contenders.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.