AU - Warwick Farm - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

42.9K

VIEW

Verdict

OLYMPIAN (2) has contested two Group 3s and a Highway since scoring four runs back at Scone. Gets a couple of kgs weight relief today and McDonald takes over which all points towards a big run. AZARAX (1) has been freshened up since dropping out of contention in the Listed South Pacific 39 days ago. Canberra Guineas placegetter on a soft track in March so he has the talent to test this field. SPICE PRAWN (6) is deep into this prep but is still racing well. Moved into the race before the bend but found the winner too good over the mile at Kembla most recently. Gets a bit of weight off the top fancies and should be about the money again. COULTER (3) closed well to grab second in the rich Wagga Guineas over the mile last start. That form should stack up favourably. Expect a better performance from ELEVEN X (4) today at the third run back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	At the latest run got back early 7th of 13 at Hawkesbury Highway-C2 on May 2 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Oakfield Alaska carrying 138lbs at $3.30. Before that 7th of 14 at Randwick in the G3 Packer Plt on April 18 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Matias carrying 125lbs at $4.80. Back in class and should bounce back to form. 1st Pick 2 Olympian Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich J: James Mcdonald T: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich	225	-	-	-	56%
Analysis At the latest run got back early 7th of 13 at Hawkesbury Highway-C2 on May 2 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Oakfield Alaska carrying 138lbs at $3.30. Before that 7th of 14 at Randwick in the G3 Packer Plt on April 18 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Matias carrying 125lbs at $4.80. Back in class and should bounce back to form.
1	Dual acceptor. Comes off a 39 day let-up. Most recently sat on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 10 at Randwick in the LR S/Pacific on April 11 over 7f, 6 len behind Beskar carrying 117lbs at $31. Before that sat behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 11 at Randwick Kensington 3yo Bm72 on March 25 over 7f, slow going 15 len behind Crossbow with 133lbs at $5. Freshened up and will find this much easier. 2nd Pick 1 Azarax Jockey: Anna Roper Trainer: Tom Charlton J: Anna Roper T: Tom Charlton	114	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Comes off a 39 day let-up. Most recently sat on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 10 at Randwick in the LR S/Pacific on April 11 over 7f, 6 len behind Beskar carrying 117lbs at $31. Before that sat behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 11 at Randwick Kensington 3yo Bm72 on March 25 over 7f, slow going 15 len behind Crossbow with 133lbs at $5. Freshened up and will find this much easier.
6	Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on May 9 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Mcadam with 129lbs at $3.40. The run before that eased back early on 8th of 15 at Eagle Farm in the LR Princess Stakes on April 25 over 1m, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Spicy Lu carrying 125lbs at $26. Going well and looks a sound each-way chance. 3rd Pick 6 Spice Prawn Jockey: Tom Sherry Trainer: Peter Snowden J: Tom Sherry T: Peter Snowden	158	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on May 9 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Mcadam with 129lbs at $3.40. The run before that eased back early on 8th of 15 at Eagle Farm in the LR Princess Stakes on April 25 over 1m, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Spicy Lu carrying 125lbs at $26. Going well and looks a sound each-way chance.

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