AU - Warren - Race 1

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

18.6K

VIEW

Verdict

WELLSPRING (5) is the obvious danger after missing by a head as favourite at Orange in a BM50, with the winning rider back and a solid 5f profile. Will be strong late with the claim. MISS CAPRICORN (1) brings the strongest recent BM66 form, having won at Bathurst then run second to Supreme Style at Dubbo, though the top weight is the trade-off. Maps well. DIVINE SINNER (3) was sound enough out of BM66 grade last start and his close Narromine third two back keeps him in the minor mix if he sharpens up late. ILIKESOOBOOGIE (7) is mixing form but is usually thereabouts. Can sneak into the minor money.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Had clear excuses in Class 2 company at Coonamble last start, racing wide throughout before finishing last but still only beaten four and a half lengths by Big Lon. The start prior she led and fought on to beat Elderberry Wine in a Class 1 at Dubbo on soft ground, and she drops in grade with a strong wet-track profile. Prior Dubbo win on soft ground and the drop in grade make her the one to beat. 1st Pick 6 Enchaanted Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: David J Smith J: Non Runner T: David J Smith	122	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Had clear excuses in Class 2 company at Coonamble last start, racing wide throughout before finishing last but still only beaten four and a half lengths by Big Lon. The start prior she led and fought on to beat Elderberry Wine in a Class 1 at Dubbo on soft ground, and she drops in grade with a strong wet-track profile. Prior Dubbo win on soft ground and the drop in grade make her the one to beat.
5	Narrowly beaten as favourite in a BM50 at Orange last start, finishing second to Travelon Dory by a head after working home evenly. That followed a Grenfell win over Vivek, and the return of Jacob Stiff is a positive given their record together. Rises from BM50 grade, but the rider link and 5f form give him a strong chance. 2nd Pick 5 Wellspring Jockey: Jacob Stiff Trainer: Sharon Jeffries J: Jacob Stiff T: Sharon Jeffries	128	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Narrowly beaten as favourite in a BM50 at Orange last start, finishing second to Travelon Dory by a head after working home evenly. That followed a Grenfell win over Vivek, and the return of Jacob Stiff is a positive given their record together. Rises from BM50 grade, but the rider link and 5f form give him a strong chance.
1	Went close in BM66 grade at Dubbo last start, finishing second to Supreme Style and beaten a length and a half at generous odds. She had won in the same grade at Bathurst the run prior, edging out Abstruse, so her recent form has genuine substance. Top weight is the query, but she is holding her form well enough to be in the placings. 3rd Pick 1 Miss Capricorn Jockey: Gabrielle Johnston Trainer: Connie Greig J: Gabrielle Johnston T: Connie Greig	125	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Went close in BM66 grade at Dubbo last start, finishing second to Supreme Style and beaten a length and a half at generous odds. She had won in the same grade at Bathurst the run prior, edging out Abstruse, so her recent form has genuine substance. Top weight is the query, but she is holding her form well enough to be in the placings.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

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Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

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