AU - Wagga - Race 7

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

28.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ONE HARD LADY (8) was well fancied when resuming but found one better at Albury over the 4 ½f. Boasts a strong record early in the prep and is drawn well. Can go one better. TEYLU (7) is as consistent as they come for the Vella yard. Closed off strongly last start to just miss at Canberra when resuming. Winkers come off second up and blinkers go on first time. Fitter and looms a big threat. KEIKOKU (11) has turned into a perennial placegetter but still boasts peaks that can give this a big shake. Watch for him bursting through. LOVE SHUCK (6) has improved with each run in this campaign and should be hitting his straps now. Shoulders a strong record over this track and trip and has been freshened with 58 days. Overlook at your own peril.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Second run back. First-up after three months 2nd of 12 at Albury Flat Knacker 94 on March 20 over 4 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Sparring with 121lbs at $2.45. Previously second-up 2nd of 12 at Moonee Valley Bm74 on October 24 over 4 ¾f, 0.8 len behind Gin A Tonic with 128lbs at $4.40. Has won second up in the past and is capable of building on that record. 1st Pick 8 One Hard Lady Jockey: Shaun Guymer Trainer: Donna Scott J: Shaun Guymer T: Donna Scott	128	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 2nd of 12 at Albury Flat Knacker 94 on March 20 over 4 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Sparring with 121lbs at $2.45. Previously second-up 2nd of 12 at Moonee Valley Bm74 on October 24 over 4 ¾f, 0.8 len behind Gin A Tonic with 128lbs at $4.40. Has won second up in the past and is capable of building on that record.
7	Second-up. First-up after three months came from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Canberra Open on April 3 over 5f, slow going head behind Iowna Benz carrying 134lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Canberra Bm65 on October 10 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Destructive Diva carrying 134lbs at $2. Fitter and worth following up. 2nd Pick 7 Teylu Jockey: Pierre Boudvillain Trainer: Gratz Vella J: Pierre Boudvillain T: Gratz Vella	148	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months came from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Canberra Open on April 3 over 5f, slow going head behind Iowna Benz carrying 134lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Canberra Bm65 on October 10 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Destructive Diva carrying 134lbs at $2. Fitter and worth following up.
11	Racing well recently. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 8 at Canberra Open on April 3 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Iowna Benz carrying 129lbs at $3.10. Before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Canberra Tab Fed Open 86 on March 25 over 6f, slow going 1.2 len behind Urafiki carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Rates highly and can go on with it. 3rd Pick 11 Keikoku Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire Trainer: Luke Pepper J: Jean Van Overmeire T: Luke Pepper	135	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 8 at Canberra Open on April 3 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Iowna Benz carrying 129lbs at $3.10. Before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Canberra Tab Fed Open 86 on March 25 over 6f, slow going 1.2 len behind Urafiki carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Rates highly and can go on with it.

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