AU - Wagga - Race 7

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

It's a cracking contest to close us out. THE SHAPER (4) has been freshened with 39 days and drops back to a winning trip after turning in a poor one at Seymour. His form prior was super and his two recent jumpouts have been sharp. Loy's booking signals stable confidence. EPAULLO CREED (5) is a speedy gelding from the Olive camp. Was back somewhere near his best second-up and is sure to take some catching from the low draw. DUPLI KATE (6) was far from her best first-up at Canberra when getting too far back. Willing to forgive on best efforts but the wide draw could see her get a long way back again. Watch for her looping them if the pace is genuine. ADOLPHUS (13) returns and is a two-time winner fresh. Mixed his form last campaign when sent to town but posted strong ratings when on-song. Drawn sticky but has the class to give this a big shake. COUNTY KILKENNY (8) was well below his best last time and is capable of a much better effort here. He'll be hoping they roll along early.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Comes off a 39 day let-up. Last start 7th of 10 at Seymour Bm78 on April 26 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Lario carrying 128lbs at $4.60. The run before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Morphettville Bm72 on April 11 over 1m, slow going nose behind Scandalize with 134lbs at $6. Expected to bounce back. 1st Pick 4 The Shaper Jockey: Brodie Loy Trainer: Daniel Mccarthy J: Brodie Loy T: Daniel Mccarthy	138	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Comes off a 39 day let-up. Last start 7th of 10 at Seymour Bm78 on April 26 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Lario carrying 128lbs at $4.60. The run before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Morphettville Bm72 on April 11 over 1m, slow going nose behind Scandalize with 134lbs at $6. Expected to bounce back.
5	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming couldn't go on with it, second last of 12 at Canberra Tab Fed Open 86 on May 8 over 6f, slow going 16 len behind Bon Frankie carrying 123lbs at $41. Second-up gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at Queanbeyan Defencecup on May 17 over 7 ¼f, long-neck behind Wal's Angels carrying 133lbs at $11. Leading prospect. 2nd Pick 5 Epaullo Creed Jockey: Billy Owen Trainer: Nick Olive J: Billy Owen T: Nick Olive	178	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming couldn't go on with it, second last of 12 at Canberra Tab Fed Open 86 on May 8 over 6f, slow going 16 len behind Bon Frankie carrying 123lbs at $41. Second-up gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at Queanbeyan Defencecup on May 17 over 7 ¼f, long-neck behind Wal's Angels carrying 133lbs at $11. Leading prospect.
6	Second-up. First-up after eight months eased back early on 7th of 12 at Canberra Tab Fed Open 86 on May 8 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Bon Frankie with 126lbs at $2.50. Previously second-up favourite, settled well back, won by 1.5 len at Moruya Bm82 September 16 over 7f defeating Zipitalist with 125lbs at $1.70. Look for a much better performance. 3rd Pick 6 Dupli Kate Jockey: Blaike Mcdougall Trainer: Norm Gardner J: Blaike Mcdougall T: Norm Gardner	75	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months eased back early on 7th of 12 at Canberra Tab Fed Open 86 on May 8 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Bon Frankie with 126lbs at $2.50. Previously second-up favourite, settled well back, won by 1.5 len at Moruya Bm82 September 16 over 7f defeating Zipitalist with 125lbs at $1.70. Look for a much better performance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.