AU - Tuncurry - Race 6

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

21.5K

VIEW

Verdict

MOSGIEL CRYSTAL (10) handy mare ready to win in this easier race. Got well out of her ground and like the way she savaged the line when fourth over 7f at Taree in C2 grade. Leading rider goes aboard and can get the better of these. HILLBILLY HIPPIE (14) mixing her form and comes back in trip after fading to run ninth over 1m at Moree. Much better than that and stays in the mix. DAMASCUS GATE (1) holding his form and will relish the 7lbs claim again after sitting on the speed for a game second over 7f at Gunnedah. Top three contender. EXPLOSIVE TYCOON (5) in good yard and working himself back into form after running third over 7f at Taree. Can race closer and give plenty of cheek.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 11 in a Ctry Cl2 at Taree on August 14 over 7f, 1.5 len behind I Am Steffi with 122lbs at $6.50. Before that 4th of 12 in a Ctry Cl1 at Port Macquarie on July 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind I Am Steffi with 126lbs at $26. Doesn't have to improve much to win this. 1st Pick 10 Mosgiel Crystal Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Matthew Robinson J: Ben Looker T: Matthew Robinson	110	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 11 in a Ctry Cl2 at Taree on August 14 over 7f, 1.5 len behind I Am Steffi with 122lbs at $6.50. Before that 4th of 12 in a Ctry Cl1 at Port Macquarie on July 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind I Am Steffi with 126lbs at $26. Doesn't have to improve much to win this.
14	Most recently 9th of 11 in a Bm58 at Moree on August 6 over 1m, 6 len behind Playful Puzzle carrying 123lbs at $15. The run before that 5th of 13 in a Cl1 at Grafton on July 24 over 1m, 3.5 len behind He Is The Kiss carrying 123lbs at $19. Capable of a better run. 2nd Pick 14 Hillbilly Hippie Jockey: Zac Wadick Trainer: Colt Prosser J: Zac Wadick T: Colt Prosser	93	-	-	-	5%
Analysis Most recently 9th of 11 in a Bm58 at Moree on August 6 over 1m, 6 len behind Playful Puzzle carrying 123lbs at $15. The run before that 5th of 13 in a Cl1 at Grafton on July 24 over 1m, 3.5 len behind He Is The Kiss carrying 123lbs at $19. Capable of a better run.
1	Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 in a Cg&E Bm58 at Gunnedah on August 14 over 7f, slow going 0.7 len behind Hinto with 133lbs at $7.50. Before that led to the turn then faded 6th of 13 in a Ctry Bm58 at Quirindi on August 4 over 7 ¼f, 0.7 len behind Giddy Up Griff carrying 131lbs at $6.50. Capable of fighting out the finish again. 3rd Pick 1 Damascus Gate Jockey: Juliet Partridge Trainer: Carlos Antonio J: Juliet Partridge T: Carlos Antonio	128	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 in a Cg&E Bm58 at Gunnedah on August 14 over 7f, slow going 0.7 len behind Hinto with 133lbs at $7.50. Before that led to the turn then faded 6th of 13 in a Ctry Bm58 at Quirindi on August 4 over 7 ¼f, 0.7 len behind Giddy Up Griff carrying 131lbs at $6.50. Capable of fighting out the finish again.

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