AU - Tuncurry - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

35.8K

VIEW

Verdict

POMELO CHAMOMILE (14) nice Maurice filly who returns from a lengthy break. Stalked the speed two back when second over 5 ½f at Gosford. Fitted with the two trials and gets her chance from the low draw. LOVE YOU ANYWAY (5) tough old mare holding her form. Made considerable ground from near last on the turn with a handy third over 4 ½f at Scone. Can overcome the sticky gate. DREAM A LITTLE (4) was prominent at the bend when she was sent to the bush for a narrow second over 5f at Gunnedah. Can hold that form today and overcome the sticky gate. SONGBIRD YESSIREE (7) ticks a few boxes on resumption from the inside gate. Tidy debut at the big odds when third over 5f at Taree last March. Back without a trial and the claim helps.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
14	Is first-up after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign sixth of 12 at Wyong 2yo Mdn-Sw March 28 over 6f, soft track, 6 len behind Tenenbaum with 121lbs at $19. Previously first up, fourth of 8 at Newcastle Super 2yo Mdn-Sw February 28 over 4 ½f, soft track, 5 len behind Potomac River carrying 120lbs at $3.10. Can return in winning form. 1st Pick 14 Pomelo Chamomile Jockey: Andrew Gibbons Trainer: Kris Lees J: Andrew Gibbons T: Kris Lees	105	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Is first-up after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign sixth of 12 at Wyong 2yo Mdn-Sw March 28 over 6f, soft track, 6 len behind Tenenbaum with 121lbs at $19. Previously first up, fourth of 8 at Newcastle Super 2yo Mdn-Sw February 28 over 4 ½f, soft track, 5 len behind Potomac River carrying 120lbs at $3.10. Can return in winning form.
5	Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Scone on August 17 over 4 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Sir Boom A Lot carrying 126lbs at $14. Before that 4th of 10 in a Super Mdn at Tamworth on July 3 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Zousanity carrying 121lbs at $2.90. Can improve again. Rates highly on best form and is a strong winning chance. 2nd Pick 5 Love You Anyway Jockey: Mikayla Weir Trainer: Barry Lawrence J: Mikayla Weir T: Barry Lawrence	149	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Scone on August 17 over 4 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Sir Boom A Lot carrying 126lbs at $14. Before that 4th of 10 in a Super Mdn at Tamworth on July 3 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Zousanity carrying 121lbs at $2.90. Can improve again. Rates highly on best form and is a strong winning chance.
4	Third-up today. First-up 3rd in a small field in a Mdn at Scone on June 29 over 4 ½f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Suasion with 126lbs at $51. Second-up 2nd of 7 in a Mdn-Sw at Gunnedah on July 20 over 5f, long-neck behind Bellerata with 126lbs at $41. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort. 3rd Pick 4 Dream A Little Jockey: Ashley Morgan Trainer: Jay Hopkins J: Ashley Morgan T: Jay Hopkins	85	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 3rd in a small field in a Mdn at Scone on June 29 over 4 ½f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Suasion with 126lbs at $51. Second-up 2nd of 7 in a Mdn-Sw at Gunnedah on July 20 over 5f, long-neck behind Bellerata with 126lbs at $41. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.