AU - Townsville - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

14.8K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Very even. Giving TIME TO PROPHET (10) another try. Winner here two back then straight into open class and was well off best, finishing at the tail. Back in grade and very well righted with the claim. Well worth another chance. RUBY CHICKS (8) finished off last campaign in similar grade when fourth. Excels fresh though and all five career wins have been at this journey. Expected to run well. SUPER FREEZE (7) won well fresh the tackled richer company at Eagle Farm and was safely held. This far more suitable and drawn for the run of the race. OUTSMARTED (4) returns form a break and makes debut for a new yard and this circuit. Was an Eagle Farm winner four back. Goes very well fresh so watch the market closely. COLE'S BEST (5) rates highly and expected to do much better with that run under his belt.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	At the latest run raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 8 at this track Hcp on February 3 over 5f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Roweiner's Dance carrying 115lbs at $4.80. The race before that won by a long-neck at this track Bm55 January 16 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Hell Of A Bentley carrying 132lbs at $4.60. Back in grade and well weighted for this. 1st Pick 10 Time To Prophet Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Georgina Holt	164	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 8 at this track Hcp on February 3 over 5f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Roweiner's Dance carrying 115lbs at $4.80. The race before that won by a long-neck at this track Bm55 January 16 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Hell Of A Bentley carrying 132lbs at $4.60. Back in grade and well weighted for this.
8	Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign fourth of 9 at Cairns Bm70 November 2 over 4 ¾f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Seventies Hit carrying 128lbs at $3.30. First up last campaign seventh of 14 at this track Bm65 September 9 over 5f, 4 len behind Bloomin' Ripper with 129lbs at $21. Trip suits and has a very good record while fresh. 2nd Pick 8 Ruby Chicks Jockey: Gabrielle Semmens Trainer: Trevor & Peter Rowe J: Gabrielle Semmens T: Trevor & Peter Rowe	82	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign fourth of 9 at Cairns Bm70 November 2 over 4 ¾f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Seventies Hit carrying 128lbs at $3.30. First up last campaign seventh of 14 at this track Bm65 September 9 over 5f, 4 len behind Bloomin' Ripper with 129lbs at $21. Trip suits and has a very good record while fresh.
7	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up won by 1.75 len at this track Bm65 December 28 over 5f in soft going defeating Saturday Vibes carrying 130lbs at $3.70. Second-up ran last of 8 at Eagle Farm Bm65 on January 28 over 5f, 16 len behind Air We Go with 125lbs at $11. Big chance on the first-up form. 3rd Pick 7 Super Freeze Jockey: Les Tilley Trainer: Tom Button J: Les Tilley T: Tom Button	136	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up won by 1.75 len at this track Bm65 December 28 over 5f in soft going defeating Saturday Vibes carrying 130lbs at $3.70. Second-up ran last of 8 at Eagle Farm Bm65 on January 28 over 5f, 16 len behind Air We Go with 125lbs at $11. Big chance on the first-up form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.