AU - Townsville - Race 8

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Class 6

Turf

SOFT 5

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

HOT DIGITY BOOM (2) is the one to beat after missing by a nose in a BM70 at this track. The rise to 7f is supported by a solid distance record, and the weight relief strengthens the case. On top. TORANAGA (10) has put together two narrow seconds, the latest here behind Rock The Sunrise, and his record at this track and distance plus the Ivo Fry pairing make him the clear danger. BRAVE AGENDA (8) was only beaten just over a length first-up in a BM60 and strips fitter with a sizeable weight drop. In the mix. READY TIGER (6) comes off a narrow BM65 here and is honest enough to be included, though the return to 7f is a question.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Went within a nose of winning a Benchmark 70 at this track last start after being bumped early and covering ground through the early stages. That followed a Cairns second as odds-on favourite, so he is knocking hard. The move to 7f is workable given his distance record, and with weight relief from 139lbs plus Lacey Morrison staying aboard, he has the strongest winning case. 1st Pick 2 Hot Digity Boom Jockey: Lacey Morrison Trainer: Steven Royes J: Lacey Morrison T: Steven Royes	180	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Went within a nose of winning a Benchmark 70 at this track last start after being bumped early and covering ground through the early stages. That followed a Cairns second as odds-on favourite, so he is knocking hard. The move to 7f is workable given his distance record, and with weight relief from 139lbs plus Lacey Morrison staying aboard, he has the strongest winning case.
10	Has been beaten narrowly at his past two, most recently a neck second in a Benchmark 60 at this track after tracking the speed and fighting on behind Rock The Sunrise. The Cairns second prior was at big odds in a 4yo Quality, so the form has substance rather than being a one-off. His track-and-distance record is strong in a small sample, and the Ivo Fry partnership adds further appeal. 2nd Pick 10 Toranaga Jockey: Ivo Fry Trainer: Graham Hughes J: Ivo Fry T: Graham Hughes	114	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Has been beaten narrowly at his past two, most recently a neck second in a Benchmark 60 at this track after tracking the speed and fighting on behind Rock The Sunrise. The Cairns second prior was at big odds in a 4yo Quality, so the form has substance rather than being a one-off. His track-and-distance record is strong in a small sample, and the Ivo Fry partnership adds further appeal.
8	Led first-up at this track in a Benchmark 60 and was only beaten just over a length after weakening late, which was a sound return at generous odds. She now gets a sizeable weight drop from 131lbs to 120lbs and steps to a distance where she has two wins and seven placings. Her track-and-trip record is more place-heavy than winning, but the second-up set-up is appealing. 3rd Pick 8 Brave Agenda Jockey: Isabella Teh Trainer: Rhein Sewell J: Isabella Teh T: Rhein Sewell	92	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Led first-up at this track in a Benchmark 60 and was only beaten just over a length after weakening late, which was a sound return at generous odds. She now gets a sizeable weight drop from 131lbs to 120lbs and steps to a distance where she has two wins and seven placings. Her track-and-trip record is more place-heavy than winning, but the second-up set-up is appealing.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.